Sjeføkonom: Man skal ikke utelukke to rentehevinger nå
Kilde:
Aftenposten
Author: Marianne Stensland
Published: 2026-05-07 04:04:13
Last updated: 2026-05-06 20:19:43
Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.
– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.
Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.
– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.
– 90 prosent sannsynlighet
Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.
Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.
Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.
– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.
Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.
– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.
– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?
– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.
Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.
– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.
Styrket krone «neppe» nok
«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.
De peker på kraftig prisvekst i mars. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.
«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.
Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.
Lønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».
– Har holdt renten litt lavere
Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.
– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.
I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning».
– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.
– Hvorfor ikke?
– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.
Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.
Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.
Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:
«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».
– Fullstendig misforstått
Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.
Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.
– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.
Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.
– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.
Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.
– Det er allerede priset inn.
🏷️ Extracted Entities (14)
Norges Bank
(person)
Tore Grobæk Vamraak
(person)
Sparebanken Norge
(person)
Dane Cekov
(person)
Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen
(organization)
Norges Bank 🏷️
(keyword)
Rente 🏷️
(keyword)
Rentemøte 🏷️
(keyword)
Infront
(entity)
Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk
(organization)
Bloomberg
(place)
Iran
(entity)
NIBOR
(entity)
SB1
(entity)
📊 Metadata
Keywords: Rente, Rentemøte, Norges Bank
OpenGraph Title: Sjeføkonom sikker på renteheving: – Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to
Article Version History (2 versions)
This article has been updated since it was first fetched. Below are all versions:
Version 2
Current
2026-05-07 07:10:58
Sjeføkonom: Man skal ikke utelukke to rentehevinger nå
UPDATE
Author: Marianne Stensland
Published: 2026-05-07 04:04:13
Updated: 2026-05-06 20:19:43
📝 Summary
Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.
📄 Full Content (6713 chars)
– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.
Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.
– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.
– 90 prosent sannsynlighet
Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.
Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.
Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.
– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.
Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.
– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.
– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?
– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.
Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.
– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.
Styrket krone «neppe» nok
«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.
De peker på kraftig prisvekst i mars. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.
«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.
Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.
Lønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».
– Har holdt renten litt lavere
Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.
– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.
I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning».
– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.
– Hvorfor ikke?
– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.
Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.
Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.
Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:
«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».
– Fullstendig misforstått
Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.
Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.
– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.
Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.
– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.
Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.
– Det er allerede priset inn.
🏷️ Tags & Keywords
Keywords: Rente, Rentemøte, Norges Bank
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"content" : "– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.\n\nNorges Banks eget rentereferat viste at [minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa) var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.\n\n– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.\n\n## – 90 prosent sannsynlighet\n\nÅrets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.\n\nMarkedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.\n\nFlere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.\n\n– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.\n\nHan anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.\n\n– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.\n\n*– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?*\n\n– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.\n\nNorges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.\n\n## Styrket krone «neppe» nok\n\n«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets\\-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.\n\nDe peker på [kraftig prisvekst i mars](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars). Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.\n\n«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran\\-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.\n\nAndreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.\n\nLønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått \\(4,5 prosent\\). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».\n\n## – Har holdt renten litt lavere\n\nVamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.\n\n– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.\n\nI tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente\\-og\\-se\\-holdning».\n\n– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.\n\n*– Hvorfor ikke?*\n\n– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.\n\nTvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.\n\nCekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons\\- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank\\-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.\n\nØkonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:\n\n«Norges Banks jobb er \\(...\\) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet \\(AKU\\) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker \\(deltids\\)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».\n\n## – Fullstendig misforstått\n\nRett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.\n\nSterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.\n\n– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.\n\nDet skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.\n\nDet gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente\\- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.\n\n– Det er allerede priset inn.",
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width="7358"><figcaption class="_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded"><span class="_captionElements_1spwq_27"><span class="_caption_1spwq_27">Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. <span class="_byline_1spwq_48"> Foto: Heiko Junge / NTB</span></span></span><span class="_showMore_1spwq_59" hidden="">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island><section class="_byline_140bm_12 label-medium layout-component layout-normal layout-padded" id="byline"><div class="_singleAuthor_140bm_129"><div class="_authorInfo_140bm_164"><div class="label-medium bold"><span class="_name_140bm_117"><a class="_link_140bm_111" href="https://e24.no/forfatter/marianne-stensland">Marianne Stensland</a></span></div></div></div></section> <astro-island client="only" component-export="Timestamp" component-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Timestamp.DRSbOLFQ.js" opts="{"name":"Timestamp","value":"react"}" 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6.28438 21 6.15 21 6C21 5.85 20.9062 5.71562 20.7656 5.6625L19 5L18.3375 3.23438C18.2844 3.09375 18.15 3 18 3C17.85 3 17.7156 3.09375 17.6625 3.23438L17 5L15.2344 5.6625ZM9.45312 6.29063C9.37187 6.1125 9.19375 6 9 6C8.80625 6 8.62813 6.1125 8.54688 6.29063L6.8875 9.88438L3.29375 11.5437C3.1125 11.6281 3 11.8062 3 12C3 12.1938 3.1125 12.3719 3.29062 12.4531L6.88438 14.1125L8.54375 17.7063C8.625 17.8844 8.80312 17.9969 8.99687 17.9969C9.19062 17.9969 9.36875 17.8844 9.45 17.7063L11.1094 14.1125L14.7031 12.4531C14.8813 12.3719 14.9937 12.1938 14.9937 12C14.9937 11.8062 14.8813 11.6281 14.7031 11.5469L11.1094 9.8875L9.45 6.29375L9.45312 6.29063ZM16 17L14.2344 17.6625C14.0938 17.7156 14 17.85 14 18C14 18.15 14.0938 18.2844 14.2344 18.3375L16 19L16.6625 20.7656C16.7156 20.9062 16.85 21 17 21C17.15 21 17.2844 20.9062 17.3375 20.7656L18 19L19.7656 18.3375C19.9062 18.2844 20 18.15 20 18C20 17.85 19.9062 17.7156 19.7656 17.6625L18 17L17.3375 15.2344C17.2844 15.0938 17.15 15 17 15C16.85 15 16.7156 15.0938 16.6625 15.2344L16 17Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></div><div class="_disclaimer_1ysn4_72 body-small" hidden=""><span class="_text_1ysn4_89" data-nosnippet="true">Oppsummeringen er laget med kunstig intelligens og kvalitetssikret av E24s journalister.</span></div><ul class="_list_172ys_3 _list_1ysn4_106 _unordered_172ys_109 _textTheme_1yhmn_1 body-small"><li class="_item_172ys_34">Markedet priser inn over 50 prosent sjanse for at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.</li><li class="_item_172ys_34">Sjeføkonom Tore Grobæk Vamraak anslår 90 prosent sannsynlighet for renteheving og utelukker ikke en dobbel heving.</li><li class="_item_172ys_34">Høy inflasjon og lavere arbeidsledighet gjør at økonomer mener renten bør settes opp. </li></ul><button aria-controls="_r75R_0_" class="_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _capsule_1n2gi_83 _filled_1n2gi_112 _toggleButton_1oqm5_88" data-track-click-intent="Open" role="button" type="button">Vis mer</button></section></div></astro-island> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– De fleste <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst."><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="makroforholdene">makroforholdene</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst.</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at <a class="_link_172ys_43" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa">minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer</a> var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak. </p> <article class="_relatedArticle_f1clr_6 _relatedArticleTheme_1apph_1 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded"><a class="_link_f1clr_14" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:2pv6Xa" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a" data-track-impression="true" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp" data-track-position-source="related-article" href="https://e24.no/boers-og-finans/i/2pv6Xa/utenlandske-banker-har-minst-tro-paa-rentehopp"><figure class="_figure_f1clr_63"><img alt="" class="_image_f1clr_75" height="4680" loading="lazy" sizes="200px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=80&s=201696d566f0121c8c6fc8e2fe54bba54f81a7c1 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=100&s=9794b92e690fc2320725dff9cb33e6d9a0a80d57 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=200&s=7fa2e2c32107306b0728ba409c92dc0d4bdbf9fb 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=240&s=1064ff352e244ab01cc7658387074e4941ac3e75 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=480&s=4fe0c1168926f3bee50cfc427d983f42aa501a8d 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=580&s=8366802c2bec1079dd2b7a6d42849a206026c6c0 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=720&s=ebe43652489866d42cac280779bd6830841649fa 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1080&s=705d49a0698e1f891fe086780ae36b953f757244 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1440&s=570ad43d33b1f537b9970b9a430e239ccac0b913 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=2160&s=1dc2d03893a4b73b05a57ca72a9166116cd1bad0 2160w" width="7021"><span class="_paywallIcon_f1clr_52" data-skin="pluss"><svg fill="none" viewbox="0 0 44 24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><rect fill="var(--color-accent, #006D49)" height="24" rx="12" width="44"></rect><path d="M27.9371 14.2198H29V12.4505H27.9371V11.2782H25.5752V12.4505H22.977V12.4288C25.1242 11.5821 26.2301 10.1275 26.2301 8.52103V8.14111H23.7607V8.48847C23.7607 10.1601 23.1595 11.6364 21.7423 12.4505V14.2198H25.5322V16H27.9371V14.2198ZM18.9831 10.5183C18.9831 11.5712 17.4371 12.8087 14.8282 14.2198V16H21.3344V14.2198H16.6748V14.1981C19.7025 13.3948 21.431 12.1312 21.431 10.54V10.2469C21.431 8.78155 20.2607 8 18.296 8H18.092C15.9233 8 14.8712 8.90095 14.8712 10.7788V11.4193H17.2546V10.7788C17.2546 10.0516 17.5767 9.69335 18.1887 9.69335C18.7147 9.69335 18.9831 9.98643 18.9831 10.4966V10.5183ZM8 16H14.2914V14.2198H10.4049V12.9498H13.454V11.1696H10.4049V9.9213H14.227V8.14111H8V16Z" fill="var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)"></path><path d="M30 12.5986H37V11.4023H30V12.5986ZM32.9014 8.5V15.5H34.0977V8.5H32.9014Z" fill="var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)"></path></svg></span></figure><div class="_textContent_f1clr_33"><p class="label-small _kicker_f1clr_86">Les også</p><h3 class="title-small bold _title_f1clr_26">Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp</h3></div></a></article> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">– 90 prosent sannsynlighet</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien"><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="styringsrenten">styringsrenten</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen. </p> <div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-text-1"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_backfill_1" style="display:none"> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_backfill_1" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_backfill_1" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_backfill_1" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <astro-island await-children client="visible" component-export="Image" component-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js" opts="{"name":"Image","value":true}" prefix="r89" props="{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Sparebanken Norge"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,499],"height":[0,501]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,0],"y":[0,39],"width":[0,499],"height":[0,374]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,40],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,80],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,100],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,201],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,241],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,482],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737"],"width":[0,480]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}" renderer-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js" ssr uid="1nCN69"><figure class="_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal"><img alt="Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. " class="_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal" data-fullscreen-sizes="(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw" data-track-element-type="Article image fullscreen" data-track-name="ImageFullscreen" decoding="async" height="501" itemprop="image" loading="lazy" sizes="(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737 480w" style="object-position:50% 45.10978043912176%" width="499"><figcaption class="_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded"><span class="_captionElements_1spwq_27"><span class="_caption_1spwq_27">Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. <span class="_byline_1spwq_48"> Foto: Sparebanken Norge</span></span></span><span class="_showMore_1spwq_59" hidden="">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium"><em class="_em_172ys_39">– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?</em></p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget. </p> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">Styrket krone «neppe» nok</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">De peker på <a class="_link_172ys_43" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars">kraftig prisvekst i mars</a>. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke. </p> <div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-text-2"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_backfill_2" style="display:none"> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_backfill_2" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_backfill_2" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_backfill_2" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Lønnsoppgjøret i <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer."><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="frontfaget">frontfaget</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer.</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen». </p> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">– Har holdt renten litt lavere</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_2" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_2" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_2" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning». </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium"><em class="_em_172ys_39">– Hvorfor ikke?</em></p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium"> – Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå. </p> <astro-island await-children client="visible" component-export="Image" component-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js" opts="{"name":"Image","value":true}" prefix="r112" props="{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,8640],"height":[0,5760]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,1441],"y":[0,561],"width":[0,6225],"height":[0,4669]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,27],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,53],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,67],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,133],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,160],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,320],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7"],"width":[0,480]}],[0,{"height":[0,387],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092"],"width":[0,580]}],[0,{"height":[0,480],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b"],"width":[0,720]}],[0,{"height":[0,720],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93"],"width":[0,1080]}],[0,{"height":[0,960],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b"],"width":[0,1440]}],[0,{"height":[0,1440],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347"],"width":[0,2160]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}" renderer-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js" ssr uid="Z219cwz"><figure class="_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal"><img alt="Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. " class="_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal" data-fullscreen-sizes="(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw" data-track-element-type="Article image fullscreen" data-track-name="ImageFullscreen" decoding="async" height="5760" itemprop="image" loading="lazy" sizes="(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347 2160w" style="object-position:52.70254629629629% 50.26909722222223%" width="8640"><figcaption class="_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded"><span class="_captionElements_1spwq_27"><span class="_caption_1spwq_27">Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. <span class="_byline_1spwq_48"> Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB</span></span></span><span class="_showMore_1spwq_59" hidden="">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året"><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="mer informasjon">mer informasjon</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen: </p> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_3" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_3" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_3" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. "><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="er lav og fortsatt faller">er lav og fortsatt faller</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. </span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span>». </p> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">– Fullstendig misforstått</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. "><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="pengemarkedsrenten">pengemarkedsrenten</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. </span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> har gått opp. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_4" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_4" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_4" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Det er allerede priset inn. </p> </section> <time class="label-small _timestamp_1sn1n_1 _full_1sn1n_29 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded" datetime="2026-05-07T04:04:13.000Z" itemprop="datePublished">Publisert: 07.05.26 kl. 06:04</time> <footer class="layout-component label-medium layout-normal layout-padded _tagsTheme_1yg8r_1" data-track-element-type="Tags" data-track-id="tags" data-track-impression data-track-name="Tags" data-track-primary-position="1" data-track-target-newsroom="e24"><nav class="_nav_10biv_5"><ul class="_list_10biv_6"><li class="_item_10biv_7"><a class="_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _rounded_1n2gi_37 _filled_1n2gi_112 _tag_10biv_18" data-track-id="tag:rente" 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class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_backfill_3" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="brandboard_jobs" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="brandboard_jobs" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-brandboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-brandboard__article" id="brandboard_jobs" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </article> <aside class="aside grouped" role="complementary"> <section class="_recirculation_o5r1j_1 layout-component" data-nosnippet data-test-id="recirculation" data-track-element-type="Recirculation"><h2 class="title-medium bold">Relaterte saker</h2><ul style="display: contents"><li><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="1" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:16oM0G" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="– Kommer til å sette opp renten" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="1" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/16oM0G/kommer-til-aa-sette-opp-renten"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10">– Kommer til å
sette opp renten</span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-04-10T06:17:33.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">10 april</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="5760" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=80&s=0d1efc59cbdb845709e3a3c939bdd4aeee38fbc7 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=100&s=f38d84c1ee7de8293922986b7474c1987ffcc546 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=200&s=c5ebb594a5fd82e5721d6c85a0af6bc068c59eff 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=240&s=b460324703191baa5456036f3dafc8cc90964d41 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=480&s=dd7ad0946c25d46aa84fdea169c1b9d5b513e2ae 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=580&s=da2fe169f60f3da0ca67002bd32cb4f00247f0b5 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=720&s=4cab4b90c52a17500afaa70619d83250e0a40474 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1080&s=01339a81faad97f64e45711c5b2c05ddb6ba13b4 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1440&s=0a19ff702b281ac2ed88114a965e63ca518c80c3 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=2160&s=743495f240f9133429a57b32046a607dd0c91394 2160w" style="object-position:initial" width="8640"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-recirculation"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_recirc_1" style="display:none"><track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_recirc_1" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_recirc_1" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_recirc_1" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="2" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:k00wrk" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Jekker opp renteutsiktene: – Kan settes opp to ganger i år" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="2" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/k00wrk/norges-bank-endrer-renteutsiktene"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><p class="label-small">Jekker opp renteutsiktene: </p><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10"> – Kan settes opp to ganger i år</span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-03-26T09:08:04.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">26 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="5661" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=80&s=d92170c65dd4c506ab647b742a1712598bb52688 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=100&s=6ebab2a438f8ad438f866bf072c71e5b2fc7df2b 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=200&s=46206cb181ba68773d67135407426371c79334b8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=240&s=4e089718cdb9f3f5514ad42b1dba646dfef5eef2 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=480&s=ec186b7032c0210d8f752b010cbec2c9a660d1a5 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=580&s=e07a828e9a69efe5d23959eb6857b59b1e3dcfcf 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=720&s=9f95f3ef8755cf90e0924959e4283ab8c7f665eb 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1080&s=726cd1597125566bf00076e0db399b2c4efdc9a5 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1440&s=d27707186de824d566624aee3866b5d002385d44 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=2160&s=0698712660cebbb6a96fd22dfeab940d68d0f1d5 2160w" style="object-position:initial" width="8491"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="3" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:vrrAzj" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Rentemøte: – Tittelen bør være «force majeure»" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="3" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/vrrAzj/rentemoete-tittelen-boer-vaere-force-majeure"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><p class="label-small">Rentemøte:</p><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10">– Reell mulighet
for heving </span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-03-25T18:18:54.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">25 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="3531" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=80&s=6f46701b68101ac03985d144f8f7d5345c6d4c2b 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=100&s=7a72fc2d5b599b1cef01bb443c3f0407e11fcd07 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=200&s=785564b4fcd6ecf3b20b28adfac6c122308af86e 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=240&s=5ebee0ef07d18fcd111272d811d181783d80996b 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=480&s=b67a098a032abdf95ff576069730eb50e868dcea 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=580&s=1644280093049ee52a0ee7bbbab53ae661cd71d9 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=720&s=04355612211ea512cdc0d79629a3fa5e4f7e6801 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1080&s=bfa499e1c6502512d10e78f84e507af6a6eb37db 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1440&s=b7ea0c47ff1dd1671c3468cbedb9a79b1188c6e8 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=2160&s=3b7909867be6b34a68fff1fe3a9abb5d97d303a1 2160w" style="object-position:49.63215008276623% 40.93741149815916%" width="5437"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-recirculation-2"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_recirc_2" style="display:none"><track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_recirc_2" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_recirc_2" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_recirc_2" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="4" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:0pvJ4o" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="– Vi må ha høyere rente" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="4" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/0pvJ4o/vi-maa-ha-hoeyere-rente"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10">– Vi må ha
høyere rente</span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-05-04T03:00:00.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">4 mai</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="5464" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=80&s=202fed7d37665250e8bd2816841a7e7777575103 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=100&s=e282e656d27003d81b6878fe59302562374aa68e 100w, 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https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=2160&s=5a609f7dbb711b7fba667f20df3da955e37b0dd0 2160w" style="object-position:initial" width="8192"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Paid" data-track-access-level-name="subscription" data-track-bundle-position="5" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:2pv6Xa" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="5" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a 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1.387-1.104-.857-1.935-1.744.298-.629-1.419 8.477-1.262zm-4.12 3.408l2.199-1.708-2.752.46.552 1.248zm6.581 3.324l.456 2.282c.168.841.066 1.593-.312 2.16-.341.511-.926.88-1.756 1.045l-.07.014c-1.151.23-1.969-.146-2.514-.78l-2.84 2.04-.342-1.716 2.489-1.756-.136-.68-2.73.546-.308-1.545 8.063-1.61zm-3.532 2.947c.168.84.76 1.166 1.531 1.012.853-.17 1.176-.714 1.008-1.555l-.115-.576-2.546.508.122.61zM40 80C17.944 80 0 62.048 0 39.982h1.33C1.33 61.314 18.677 78.67 40 78.67s38.67-17.355 38.67-38.687H80C80 62.048 62.056 80 40 80z" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik fill-rule="evenodd"></path> </svg> </a> </div> </div> <p class="label-small" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
E24 arbeider etter
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.presse.no/vaer-varsom-plakaten">
Vær Varsom-plakatens regler for god presseskikk
</a>,
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://e24.no/etiske-retningslinjer">
E24s etiske retningslinjer
</a> og
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.redaktor.no/ressurser/etiske-og-juridiske-rammeverk/redaktorplakaten">
Redaktørplakaten
</a>. Den som mener seg rammet av urettmessig medieomtale, oppfordres
til å ta kontakt med redaksjonen. Pressens Faglige Utvalg (PFU) er et
klageorgan som behandler klager mot mediene i presseetiske spørsmål.
For informasjon om klageadgang, se: <a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.presse.no/hvordan-klage-til-pfu">
www.presse.no
</a> </p> <p class="label-small shortCopyright" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
© 2026, E24
</p> </div> <div class="_misc_e3b6k_172" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <dl data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <dt class="label-small bold" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>Adresse:</dt> <dd class="_miscContent_e3b6k_181 label-small" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
Akersgata 55<br data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>0180 OSLO
</dd> </dl> <div class="_miscContent_e3b6k_181" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <p class="label-small" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
Kurser er levert av
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.oslobors.no/">Oslo Børs</a>,
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.infront.co/no/en.html">Infront</a>
og
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.theice.com/market-data">ICE Data Services</a>.
Kurser - med unntak av Hovedindeksen - er 15 minutter forsinket.
Estimater er levert av
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.factset.com/">Factset</a>. Data relatert til
krypto-valutaer er levert av<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://firi.com/no">
Firi AS
</a>. Det tas forbehold om eventuelle feil og mangler i data.
(Copyright and Terms of Use Notice:
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://e24.no/informasjon/terms-of-use/ice-futures">
ICE Futures
</a>,
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://e24.no/informasjon/terms-of-use/ftse-100">
FTSE 100
</a>)
</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> </footer> </body></html>
🗄️ Database Row (All Fields)
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"article_id" : 202507,
"author" : "Marianne Stensland",
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"content" : "– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.\n\nNorges Banks eget rentereferat viste at [minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa) var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.\n\n– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.\n\n## – 90 prosent sannsynlighet\n\nÅrets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.\n\nMarkedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.\n\nFlere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.\n\n– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.\n\nHan anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.\n\n– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.\n\n*– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?*\n\n– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.\n\nNorges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.\n\n## Styrket krone «neppe» nok\n\n«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets\\-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.\n\nDe peker på [kraftig prisvekst i mars](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars). Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.\n\n«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran\\-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.\n\nAndreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.\n\nLønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått \\(4,5 prosent\\). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».\n\n## – Har holdt renten litt lavere\n\nVamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.\n\n– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.\n\nI tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente\\-og\\-se\\-holdning».\n\n– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.\n\n*– Hvorfor ikke?*\n\n– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.\n\nTvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.\n\nCekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons\\- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank\\-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.\n\nØkonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:\n\n«Norges Banks jobb er \\(...\\) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet \\(AKU\\) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker \\(deltids\\)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».\n\n## – Fullstendig misforstått\n\nRett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.\n\nSterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.\n\n– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.\n\nDet skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.\n\nDet gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente\\- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.\n\n– Det er allerede priset inn.",
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"metadata" : "{\"raw_feed_item\":\"<item>\\n <title><![CDATA[Sjeføkonom: Man skal ikke utelukke to rentehevinger nÃ¥]]></title>\\n <link>https://www.aftenposten.no/e24/i/oEMrnW</link>\\n <guid>https://www.aftenposten.no/i/rrzLQ8</guid>\\n <pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 04:56:10 GMT</pubDate>\\n <description><![CDATA[Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.]]></description>\\n <enclosure length=\\\"65535\\\" type=\\\"image/jpeg\\\" url=\\\"https://premium.vgc.no/v2/images/d05dc6e9-997d-3ffc-9aa8-17ef8b9c1e55?fit=crop&format=auto&h=281&tight=true&w=499&s=8e41da14f4a59a6a7874b5bf4a5c8e46465e0522\\\" />\\n </item>\",\"schema\":{\"microdata\":{\"articleBody\":\" \",\"datePublished\":\"Publisert: 07.05.26 kl. 06:04\"}},\"og\":{\"url\":\"https://e24.no/i/oEMrnW\",\"image\":\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480\",\"type\":\"article\",\"site_name\":\"E24\",\"description\":\"Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\",\"title\":\"Sjeføkonom sikker pÃ¥ renteheving: â Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to \"},\"published_at\":\"2026-05-07 04:04:13\",\"source_updated_at\":\"2026-05-06 20:19:43\",\"title\":\"Sjeføkonom sikker pÃ¥ renteheving: â Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to \",\"content\":\"â De fleste makroforholdeneÃkonomiske forhold som pÃ¥virker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.\\n\\nNorges Banks eget rentereferat viste at [minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa) var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for Ã¥ heve renten» allerede pÃ¥ marsmøtet.\\n\\nâ Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til Ã¥ kunne gjøre det â det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. NÃ¥ har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nÃ¥ velger Ã¥ sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.\\n\\n## â 90 prosent sannsynlighet\\n\\nÃ
rets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.\\n\\nMarkedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som pÃ¥virker rentenivÃ¥et i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.\\n\\nFlere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er pÃ¥ vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.\\n\\nâ Jeg er ganske sikker pÃ¥ at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.\\n\\nHan anslÃ¥r rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.\\n\\nâ Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nÃ¥.\\n\\n*â SÃ¥ du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?*\\n\\nâ Nei, men nÃ¥r jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving pÃ¥ 0,25 prosentpoeng, sÃ¥ er det jo fÃ¥ prosenter igjen til Ã¥ holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nÃ¥.\\n\\nNorges Bank har ogsÃ¥ tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.\\n\\nâ SÃ¥ jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror pÃ¥ to rentehevinger i løpet av Ã¥ret, og det tror jeg ogsÃ¥ er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.\\n\\n## Styrket krone «neppe» nok\\n\\n«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets\\\\-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.\\n\\nDe peker pÃ¥ [kraftig prisvekst i mars](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars). Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.\\n\\n«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst pÃ¥ varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran\\\\-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.\\n\\nAndreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn pÃ¥ forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til Ã¥ utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\\n\\nLønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst pÃ¥ 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslÃ¥tt \\\\(4,5 prosent\\\\). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker pÃ¥ at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».\\n\\n## â Har holdt renten litt lavere\\n\\nVamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir pÃ¥ torsdag, men peker pÃ¥ to forhold som peker i den retningen.\\n\\nâ Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for Ã¥ holde seg til hovedmøtene nÃ¥r de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, sÃ¥ det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.\\n\\nI tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for Ã¥ innta en «vente\\\\-og\\\\-se\\\\-holdning».\\n\\nâ Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.\\n\\n*â Hvorfor ikke?*\\n\\nââ Norges Banks hovedformÃ¥l er Ã¥ holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal ogsÃ¥ sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste Ã¥rene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nÃ¥ er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.\\n\\nTvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes pÃ¥ det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivÃ¥.\\n\\nCekov og Andreassen peker pÃ¥ at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons\\\\- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank\\\\-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen pÃ¥ norsk økonomi fire ganger i Ã¥ret dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.\\n\\nÃkonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen sÃ¥ mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Ã
vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, pÃ¥peker de, men slÃ¥r raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:\\n\\n«Norges Banks jobb er \\\\(...\\\\) ikke Ã¥ være populær, men Ã¥ følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for Ã¥ ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken nÃ¥r inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren pÃ¥ balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs mÃ¥ling av arbeidsledighet \\\\(AKU\\\\) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 Ã¥r som søker \\\\(deltids\\\\)jobb â ikke en bred økning i ledigheten pÃ¥ grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».\\n\\n## â Fullstendig misforstÃ¥tt\\n\\nRett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.\\n\\nSterkere krone kan gi lavere priser pÃ¥ utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for Ã¥ bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for Ã¥ utsette rentehevingen.\\n\\nâ Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg sÃ¥ mye at man nÃ¥ ikke trenger Ã¥ heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstÃ¥tt. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene Ã¥ lÃ¥ne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre mÃ¥neders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gÃ¥tt opp.\\n\\nDet skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.\\n\\nâ SÃ¥ man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt Ã¥penbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.\\n\\nDet gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente\\\\- og valutamarkedet vil være smÃ¥ dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer pÃ¥ torsdag.\\n\\nâ Det er allerede priset inn.\",\"keywords\":[\"Rente\",\"Rentemøte\",\"Norges Bank\"],\"meta\":{\"keywords\":\"Rente, Rentemøte, Norges Bank\",\"robots\":\"max-image-preview:large, noarchive\",\"viewport\":\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1\",\"description\":\"Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\",\"publisheddate\":\"2026-05-07\"},\"is_paywalled\":0,\"description\":\"Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\",\"author\":\"Marianne Stensland\",\"twitter\":{},\"image_url\":\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480\"}",
"og_title" : "Sjeføkonom sikker på renteheving: – Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to ",
"published_at" : "2026-05-07 04:04:13",
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økonomi\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi\"> Norsk økonomi </a> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <h1 class=\"_title_1yfsd_8 _small_1yfsd_38 _brandTitle_3eil8_1 title-large bold\"> <span class=\"_text_1yfsd_60\"> Sjeføkonom sikker på renteheving: – Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to </span> </h1> </div><p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _lead_172ys_2 _lead_qg7rf_18 layout-component layout-wide layout-padded _lead_o6m9k_5 body-large _wide_o6m9k_9\">Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.</p><astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"Image\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Image","value":true}\" prefix=\"r27\" props=\"{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. "],"byline":[0," Foto: Heiko Junge / NTB"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,7358],"height":[0,4908]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,27],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,53],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=80&s=3266830c289691931ac34351d9423696b6aff085"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,67],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=100&s=8f5284bcf5f2b3412ea4c64e21c68440eb420735"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,133],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=200&s=384ce0ac182e90c49a20ec0e812ae45e8091dc31"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,160],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=240&s=1f8092b1e3b30217bb74e166ed59473df336f250"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,320],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=480&s=6392950e313e40c14271a6f2c0064264e78d4513"],"width":[0,480]}],[0,{"height":[0,387],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=580&s=429ee296013f10062d68a8ae6b5ba69e38819820"],"width":[0,580]}],[0,{"height":[0,480],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=720&s=60ad922d277aa8156315c72b6df509b8aad68307"],"width":[0,720]}],[0,{"height":[0,720],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480"],"width":[0,1080]}],[0,{"height":[0,961],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1440&s=f3da4fe126a103338d03d799e77ed10c1cdb0c4e"],"width":[0,1440]}],[0,{"height":[0,1441],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=2160&s=0507f8fdd5a6c47e3fe31c6b6a82b5e434f7191f"],"width":[0,2160]}]]]}],"layout":[0,"wide"],"loading":[0,"eager"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}\" 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480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=580&s=429ee296013f10062d68a8ae6b5ba69e38819820 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=720&s=60ad922d277aa8156315c72b6df509b8aad68307 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1440&s=f3da4fe126a103338d03d799e77ed10c1cdb0c4e 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=2160&s=0507f8fdd5a6c47e3fe31c6b6a82b5e434f7191f 2160w\" rel=\"preload\"><figure class=\"_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-wide\"><img alt=\"Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. \" class=\"_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-wide\" data-fullscreen-sizes=\"(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw\" data-track-element-type=\"Article image fullscreen\" data-track-name=\"ImageFullscreen\" decoding=\"sync\" fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"4908\" itemprop=\"image\" loading=\"eager\" sizes=\"(min-width: 978px) 978px, 100vw\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=80&s=3266830c289691931ac34351d9423696b6aff085 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=100&s=8f5284bcf5f2b3412ea4c64e21c68440eb420735 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=200&s=384ce0ac182e90c49a20ec0e812ae45e8091dc31 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=240&s=1f8092b1e3b30217bb74e166ed59473df336f250 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=480&s=6392950e313e40c14271a6f2c0064264e78d4513 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=580&s=429ee296013f10062d68a8ae6b5ba69e38819820 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=720&s=60ad922d277aa8156315c72b6df509b8aad68307 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1440&s=f3da4fe126a103338d03d799e77ed10c1cdb0c4e 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=2160&s=0507f8fdd5a6c47e3fe31c6b6a82b5e434f7191f 2160w\" style=\"object-position:0% 0%\" width=\"7358\"><figcaption class=\"_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded\"><span class=\"_captionElements_1spwq_27\"><span class=\"_caption_1spwq_27\">Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. <span class=\"_byline_1spwq_48\"> Foto: Heiko Junge / NTB</span></span></span><span class=\"_showMore_1spwq_59\" hidden=\"\">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island><section class=\"_byline_140bm_12 label-medium layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\" id=\"byline\"><div class=\"_singleAuthor_140bm_129\"><div class=\"_authorInfo_140bm_164\"><div class=\"label-medium bold\"><span class=\"_name_140bm_117\"><a class=\"_link_140bm_111\" href=\"https://e24.no/forfatter/marianne-stensland\">Marianne Stensland</a></span></div></div></div></section> <astro-island client=\"only\" component-export=\"Timestamp\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Timestamp.DRSbOLFQ.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Timestamp","value":"react"}\" props=\"{"alignment":[0],"articlePosition":[0,"top"],"layout":[0,"normal"],"showUpdated":[0,true],"type":[0,"friendly"],"created":[0,"2026-05-04T07:28:08Z"],"updated":[0,"2026-05-06T20:19:43Z"],"firstPublished":[0,"2026-05-07T04:04:13Z"],"published":[0,"2026-05-07T04:04:13Z"]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"Z2hIvVY\"></astro-island> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_1\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_1\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_1\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </header> <braze-content-card-element class=\"layout-component layout-normal\" data-position=\"top\" data-publisher=\"e24\"></braze-content-card-element> <braze-banner-element class=\"layout-component layout-normal\" data-placement=\"e24_article_1_small\"></braze-banner-element> <section class=\"article-body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" style=\"display: contents\"> <astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"ArticleSummary\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/ArticleSummary.C7UqiXfk.js\" opts=\"{"name":"ArticleSummary","value":true}\" prefix=\"r75\" props=\"{"articleSummary":[1,[[0,{"items":[1,[[0,{"value":[0,"Markedet priser inn over 50 prosent sjanse for at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag."],"markup":[1,[]]}],[0,{"value":[0,"Sjeføkonom Tore Grobæk Vamraak anslår 90 prosent sannsynlighet for renteheving og utelukker ikke en dobbel heving."],"markup":[1,[]]}],[0,{"value":[0,"Høy inflasjon og lavere arbeidsledighet gjør at økonomer mener renten bør settes opp. "],"markup":[1,[]]}]]],"blockType":[0,"list:unordered"]}]]],"type":[0,"news"]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"1CY4wg\"><div class=\"_summary_1ysn4_13 _articleSummaryTheme_1q7xn_1 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\" data-theme=\"accent\"><section aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-label=\"Utvid\" class=\"_expandableBox_1oqm5_9 layout-component layout-normal _box_1ysn4_28\" id=\"_r75R_0_\" role=\"region\" style=\"max-height:var(--height)\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1ysn4_66\"><h2 class=\"_title_1ysn4_66 title-medium bold\">Kortversjonen</h2><button aria-label=\"Vis informasjon\" class=\"_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _capsule_1n2gi_83 _infoButton_1ysn4_43\" data-track-click-intent=\"Open\" data-track-id=\"article-summary-disclaimer\" data-track-name=\"Article Summary Disclaimer\" role=\"button\" type=\"button\"><svg aria-label=\"Ai\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M15.2344 5.6625C15.0938 5.71562 15 5.85 15 6C15 6.15 15.0938 6.28438 15.2344 6.3375L17 7L17.6625 8.76562C17.7156 8.90625 17.85 9 18 9C18.15 9 18.2844 8.90625 18.3375 8.76562L19 7L20.7656 6.3375C20.9062 6.28438 21 6.15 21 6C21 5.85 20.9062 5.71562 20.7656 5.6625L19 5L18.3375 3.23438C18.2844 3.09375 18.15 3 18 3C17.85 3 17.7156 3.09375 17.6625 3.23438L17 5L15.2344 5.6625ZM9.45312 6.29063C9.37187 6.1125 9.19375 6 9 6C8.80625 6 8.62813 6.1125 8.54688 6.29063L6.8875 9.88438L3.29375 11.5437C3.1125 11.6281 3 11.8062 3 12C3 12.1938 3.1125 12.3719 3.29062 12.4531L6.88438 14.1125L8.54375 17.7063C8.625 17.8844 8.80312 17.9969 8.99687 17.9969C9.19062 17.9969 9.36875 17.8844 9.45 17.7063L11.1094 14.1125L14.7031 12.4531C14.8813 12.3719 14.9937 12.1938 14.9937 12C14.9937 11.8062 14.8813 11.6281 14.7031 11.5469L11.1094 9.8875L9.45 6.29375L9.45312 6.29063ZM16 17L14.2344 17.6625C14.0938 17.7156 14 17.85 14 18C14 18.15 14.0938 18.2844 14.2344 18.3375L16 19L16.6625 20.7656C16.7156 20.9062 16.85 21 17 21C17.15 21 17.2844 20.9062 17.3375 20.7656L18 19L19.7656 18.3375C19.9062 18.2844 20 18.15 20 18C20 17.85 19.9062 17.7156 19.7656 17.6625L18 17L17.3375 15.2344C17.2844 15.0938 17.15 15 17 15C16.85 15 16.7156 15.0938 16.6625 15.2344L16 17Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></div><div class=\"_disclaimer_1ysn4_72 body-small\" hidden=\"\"><span class=\"_text_1ysn4_89\" data-nosnippet=\"true\">Oppsummeringen er laget med kunstig intelligens og kvalitetssikret av E24s journalister.</span></div><ul class=\"_list_172ys_3 _list_1ysn4_106 _unordered_172ys_109 _textTheme_1yhmn_1 body-small\"><li class=\"_item_172ys_34\">Markedet priser inn over 50 prosent sjanse for at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.</li><li class=\"_item_172ys_34\">Sjeføkonom Tore Grobæk Vamraak anslår 90 prosent sannsynlighet for renteheving og utelukker ikke en dobbel heving.</li><li class=\"_item_172ys_34\">Høy inflasjon og lavere arbeidsledighet gjør at økonomer mener renten bør settes opp. </li></ul><button aria-controls=\"_r75R_0_\" class=\"_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _capsule_1n2gi_83 _filled_1n2gi_112 _toggleButton_1oqm5_88\" data-track-click-intent=\"Open\" role=\"button\" type=\"button\">Vis mer</button></section></div></astro-island> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– De fleste <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst.\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"makroforholdene\">makroforholdene</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst.</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at <a class=\"_link_172ys_43\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa\">minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer</a> var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak. </p> <article class=\"_relatedArticle_f1clr_6 _relatedArticleTheme_1apph_1 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\"><a class=\"_link_f1clr_14\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:2pv6Xa\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a\" data-track-impression=\"true\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp\" data-track-position-source=\"related-article\" href=\"https://e24.no/boers-og-finans/i/2pv6Xa/utenlandske-banker-har-minst-tro-paa-rentehopp\"><figure class=\"_figure_f1clr_63\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_f1clr_75\" height=\"4680\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"200px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=80&s=201696d566f0121c8c6fc8e2fe54bba54f81a7c1 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=100&s=9794b92e690fc2320725dff9cb33e6d9a0a80d57 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=200&s=7fa2e2c32107306b0728ba409c92dc0d4bdbf9fb 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=240&s=1064ff352e244ab01cc7658387074e4941ac3e75 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=480&s=4fe0c1168926f3bee50cfc427d983f42aa501a8d 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=580&s=8366802c2bec1079dd2b7a6d42849a206026c6c0 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=720&s=ebe43652489866d42cac280779bd6830841649fa 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1080&s=705d49a0698e1f891fe086780ae36b953f757244 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1440&s=570ad43d33b1f537b9970b9a430e239ccac0b913 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=2160&s=1dc2d03893a4b73b05a57ca72a9166116cd1bad0 2160w\" width=\"7021\"><span class=\"_paywallIcon_f1clr_52\" data-skin=\"pluss\"><svg fill=\"none\" viewbox=\"0 0 44 24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><rect fill=\"var(--color-accent, #006D49)\" height=\"24\" rx=\"12\" width=\"44\"></rect><path d=\"M27.9371 14.2198H29V12.4505H27.9371V11.2782H25.5752V12.4505H22.977V12.4288C25.1242 11.5821 26.2301 10.1275 26.2301 8.52103V8.14111H23.7607V8.48847C23.7607 10.1601 23.1595 11.6364 21.7423 12.4505V14.2198H25.5322V16H27.9371V14.2198ZM18.9831 10.5183C18.9831 11.5712 17.4371 12.8087 14.8282 14.2198V16H21.3344V14.2198H16.6748V14.1981C19.7025 13.3948 21.431 12.1312 21.431 10.54V10.2469C21.431 8.78155 20.2607 8 18.296 8H18.092C15.9233 8 14.8712 8.90095 14.8712 10.7788V11.4193H17.2546V10.7788C17.2546 10.0516 17.5767 9.69335 18.1887 9.69335C18.7147 9.69335 18.9831 9.98643 18.9831 10.4966V10.5183ZM8 16H14.2914V14.2198H10.4049V12.9498H13.454V11.1696H10.4049V9.9213H14.227V8.14111H8V16Z\" fill=\"var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)\"></path><path d=\"M30 12.5986H37V11.4023H30V12.5986ZM32.9014 8.5V15.5H34.0977V8.5H32.9014Z\" fill=\"var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)\"></path></svg></span></figure><div class=\"_textContent_f1clr_33\"><p class=\"label-small _kicker_f1clr_86\">Les også</p><h3 class=\"title-small bold _title_f1clr_26\">Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp</h3></div></a></article> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">– 90 prosent sannsynlighet</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"styringsrenten\">styringsrenten</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen. </p> <div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-text-1\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_backfill_1\" style=\"display:none\"> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_backfill_1\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_backfill_1\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_backfill_1\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"Image\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Image","value":true}\" prefix=\"r89\" props=\"{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Sparebanken Norge"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,499],"height":[0,501]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,0],"y":[0,39],"width":[0,499],"height":[0,374]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,40],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,80],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,100],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,201],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,241],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,482],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737"],"width":[0,480]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"1nCN69\"><figure class=\"_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal\"><img alt=\"Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. \" class=\"_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal\" data-fullscreen-sizes=\"(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw\" data-track-element-type=\"Article image fullscreen\" data-track-name=\"ImageFullscreen\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"501\" itemprop=\"image\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737 480w\" style=\"object-position:50% 45.10978043912176%\" width=\"499\"><figcaption class=\"_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded\"><span class=\"_captionElements_1spwq_27\"><span class=\"_caption_1spwq_27\">Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. <span class=\"_byline_1spwq_48\"> Foto: Sparebanken Norge</span></span></span><span class=\"_showMore_1spwq_59\" hidden=\"\">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\"><em class=\"_em_172ys_39\">– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?</em></p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget. </p> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">Styrket krone «neppe» nok</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">De peker på <a class=\"_link_172ys_43\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars\">kraftig prisvekst i mars</a>. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke. </p> <div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-text-2\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_backfill_2\" style=\"display:none\"> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_backfill_2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_backfill_2\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_backfill_2\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Lønnsoppgjøret i <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer.\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"frontfaget\">frontfaget</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer.</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen». </p> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">– Har holdt renten litt lavere</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_2\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_2\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning». </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\"><em class=\"_em_172ys_39\">– Hvorfor ikke?</em></p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\"> – Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå. </p> <astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"Image\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Image","value":true}\" prefix=\"r112\" props=\"{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,8640],"height":[0,5760]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,1441],"y":[0,561],"width":[0,6225],"height":[0,4669]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,27],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,53],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,67],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,133],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,160],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,320],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7"],"width":[0,480]}],[0,{"height":[0,387],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092"],"width":[0,580]}],[0,{"height":[0,480],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b"],"width":[0,720]}],[0,{"height":[0,720],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93"],"width":[0,1080]}],[0,{"height":[0,960],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b"],"width":[0,1440]}],[0,{"height":[0,1440],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347"],"width":[0,2160]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"Z219cwz\"><figure class=\"_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal\"><img alt=\"Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. \" class=\"_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal\" data-fullscreen-sizes=\"(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw\" data-track-element-type=\"Article image fullscreen\" data-track-name=\"ImageFullscreen\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"5760\" itemprop=\"image\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347 2160w\" style=\"object-position:52.70254629629629% 50.26909722222223%\" width=\"8640\"><figcaption class=\"_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded\"><span class=\"_captionElements_1spwq_27\"><span class=\"_caption_1spwq_27\">Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. <span class=\"_byline_1spwq_48\"> Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB</span></span></span><span class=\"_showMore_1spwq_59\" hidden=\"\">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"mer informasjon\">mer informasjon</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen: </p> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_3\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_3\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_3\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. \"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"er lav og fortsatt faller\">er lav og fortsatt faller</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. </span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span>». </p> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">– Fullstendig misforstått</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. \"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"pengemarkedsrenten\">pengemarkedsrenten</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. </span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> har gått opp. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_4\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_4\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_4\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Det er allerede priset inn. </p> </section> <time class=\"label-small _timestamp_1sn1n_1 _full_1sn1n_29 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\" datetime=\"2026-05-07T04:04:13.000Z\" itemprop=\"datePublished\">Publisert: 07.05.26 kl. 06:04</time> <footer class=\"layout-component label-medium layout-normal layout-padded _tagsTheme_1yg8r_1\" data-track-element-type=\"Tags\" data-track-id=\"tags\" data-track-impression data-track-name=\"Tags\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\"><nav class=\"_nav_10biv_5\"><ul class=\"_list_10biv_6\"><li class=\"_item_10biv_7\"><a class=\"_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _rounded_1n2gi_37 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data-host=\"e24.no\" data-lang=\"nb-no\" data-newsroom=\"e24\" data-section=\"{"id":"29b71ba3-8f07-47de-95f4-b92150599a74","title":"Norsk økonomi","enabled":true}\" id=\"comments-widget\"></div> <astro-island await-children client=\"idle\" component-export=\"ToastContainer\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Toast.B_GCRLEZ.js\" opts=\"{"name":"ToastContainer","value":true}\" prefix=\"r14\" props=\"{}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"1yMxON\"><div class=\"_toasts_1x7db_1\"></div></astro-island> <div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-above-related\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_backfill_3\" style=\"display:none\"> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_backfill_3\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_backfill_3\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_backfill_3\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"brandboard_jobs\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"brandboard_jobs\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-brandboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-brandboard__article\" id=\"brandboard_jobs\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </article> <aside class=\"aside grouped\" role=\"complementary\"> <section class=\"_recirculation_o5r1j_1 layout-component\" data-nosnippet data-test-id=\"recirculation\" data-track-element-type=\"Recirculation\"><h2 class=\"title-medium bold\">Relaterte saker</h2><ul style=\"display: contents\"><li><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"1\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:16oM0G\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"– Kommer til å sette opp renten\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/16oM0G/kommer-til-aa-sette-opp-renten\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\">– Kommer til å\nsette opp renten</span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-04-10T06:17:33.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">10 april</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"5760\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"300px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=80&s=0d1efc59cbdb845709e3a3c939bdd4aeee38fbc7 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=100&s=f38d84c1ee7de8293922986b7474c1987ffcc546 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=200&s=c5ebb594a5fd82e5721d6c85a0af6bc068c59eff 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=240&s=b460324703191baa5456036f3dafc8cc90964d41 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=480&s=dd7ad0946c25d46aa84fdea169c1b9d5b513e2ae 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=580&s=da2fe169f60f3da0ca67002bd32cb4f00247f0b5 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=720&s=4cab4b90c52a17500afaa70619d83250e0a40474 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1080&s=01339a81faad97f64e45711c5b2c05ddb6ba13b4 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1440&s=0a19ff702b281ac2ed88114a965e63ca518c80c3 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=2160&s=743495f240f9133429a57b32046a607dd0c91394 2160w\" style=\"object-position:initial\" width=\"8640\"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-recirculation\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_recirc_1\" style=\"display:none\"><track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_recirc_1\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_recirc_1\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_recirc_1\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"2\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:k00wrk\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"Jekker opp renteutsiktene: – Kan settes opp to ganger i år\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"2\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/k00wrk/norges-bank-endrer-renteutsiktene\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><p class=\"label-small\">Jekker opp renteutsiktene: </p><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\"> – Kan settes opp to ganger i år</span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-03-26T09:08:04.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">26 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"5661\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"300px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=80&s=d92170c65dd4c506ab647b742a1712598bb52688 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=100&s=6ebab2a438f8ad438f866bf072c71e5b2fc7df2b 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=200&s=46206cb181ba68773d67135407426371c79334b8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=240&s=4e089718cdb9f3f5514ad42b1dba646dfef5eef2 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=480&s=ec186b7032c0210d8f752b010cbec2c9a660d1a5 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=580&s=e07a828e9a69efe5d23959eb6857b59b1e3dcfcf 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=720&s=9f95f3ef8755cf90e0924959e4283ab8c7f665eb 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1080&s=726cd1597125566bf00076e0db399b2c4efdc9a5 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1440&s=d27707186de824d566624aee3866b5d002385d44 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=2160&s=0698712660cebbb6a96fd22dfeab940d68d0f1d5 2160w\" style=\"object-position:initial\" width=\"8491\"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"3\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:vrrAzj\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"Rentemøte: – Tittelen bør være «force majeure»\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"3\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/vrrAzj/rentemoete-tittelen-boer-vaere-force-majeure\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><p class=\"label-small\">Rentemøte:</p><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\">– Reell mulighet\nfor heving </span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-03-25T18:18:54.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">25 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"3531\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"300px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=80&s=6f46701b68101ac03985d144f8f7d5345c6d4c2b 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=100&s=7a72fc2d5b599b1cef01bb443c3f0407e11fcd07 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=200&s=785564b4fcd6ecf3b20b28adfac6c122308af86e 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=240&s=5ebee0ef07d18fcd111272d811d181783d80996b 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=480&s=b67a098a032abdf95ff576069730eb50e868dcea 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=580&s=1644280093049ee52a0ee7bbbab53ae661cd71d9 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=720&s=04355612211ea512cdc0d79629a3fa5e4f7e6801 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1080&s=bfa499e1c6502512d10e78f84e507af6a6eb37db 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1440&s=b7ea0c47ff1dd1671c3468cbedb9a79b1188c6e8 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=2160&s=3b7909867be6b34a68fff1fe3a9abb5d97d303a1 2160w\" style=\"object-position:49.63215008276623% 40.93741149815916%\" width=\"5437\"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-recirculation-2\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_recirc_2\" style=\"display:none\"><track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_recirc_2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_recirc_2\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_recirc_2\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"4\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:0pvJ4o\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"– Vi må ha høyere rente\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"4\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/0pvJ4o/vi-maa-ha-hoeyere-rente\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\">– Vi må ha\nhøyere rente</span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-05-04T03:00:00.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">4 mai</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"5464\" loading=\"lazy\" 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"source_updated_at" : "2026-05-06 20:19:43",
"summary" : "Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.",
"tags" : null,
"title" : "Sjeføkonom: Man skal ikke utelukke to rentehevinger nå",
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Version 1
2026-05-07 05:54:57
Sjeføkonom er sikker på renteheving
NEW
Author: Marianne Stensland
Published: 2026-05-07 04:04:13
Updated: 2026-05-06 20:19:43
📝 Summary
Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.
📄 Full Content (6713 chars)
– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.
Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.
– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.
– 90 prosent sannsynlighet
Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.
Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.
Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.
– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.
Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.
– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.
– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?
– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.
Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.
– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.
Styrket krone «neppe» nok
«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.
De peker på kraftig prisvekst i mars. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.
«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.
Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.
Lønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».
– Har holdt renten litt lavere
Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.
– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.
I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning».
– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.
– Hvorfor ikke?
– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.
Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.
Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.
Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:
«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».
– Fullstendig misforstått
Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.
Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.
– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.
Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.
– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.
Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.
– Det er allerede priset inn.
🏷️ Tags & Keywords
Keywords: Rente, Rentemøte, Norges Bank
🔍 All Metadata (JSON)
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"content" : "– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.\n\nNorges Banks eget rentereferat viste at [minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa) var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.\n\n– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.\n\n## – 90 prosent sannsynlighet\n\nÅrets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.\n\nMarkedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.\n\nFlere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.\n\n– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.\n\nHan anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.\n\n– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.\n\n*– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?*\n\n– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.\n\nNorges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.\n\n## Styrket krone «neppe» nok\n\n«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets\\-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.\n\nDe peker på [kraftig prisvekst i mars](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars). Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.\n\n«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran\\-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.\n\nAndreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.\n\nLønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått \\(4,5 prosent\\). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».\n\n## – Har holdt renten litt lavere\n\nVamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.\n\n– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.\n\nI tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente\\-og\\-se\\-holdning».\n\n– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.\n\n*– Hvorfor ikke?*\n\n– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.\n\nTvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.\n\nCekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons\\- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank\\-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.\n\nØkonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:\n\n«Norges Banks jobb er \\(...\\) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet \\(AKU\\) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker \\(deltids\\)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».\n\n## – Fullstendig misforstått\n\nRett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.\n\nSterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.\n\n– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.\n\nDet skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.\n\nDet gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente\\- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.\n\n– Det er allerede priset inn.",
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<pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 04:56:10 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.]]></description>
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<!DOCTYPE html><html class="e24" data-article-theme="default" data-article-type="news" data-env="production" data-id="oEMrnW" data-name="Sjeføkonom sikker på renteheving: – Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to " data-newsroom="e24" data-page-type="Article" lang="nb" style=""> <head><meta content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1" name="viewport"><link as="image" fetchpriority="high" imagesrcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=80&s=3266830c289691931ac34351d9423696b6aff085 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=100&s=8f5284bcf5f2b3412ea4c64e21c68440eb420735 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=200&s=384ce0ac182e90c49a20ec0e812ae45e8091dc31 200w, 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width="7358"><figcaption class="_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded"><span class="_captionElements_1spwq_27"><span class="_caption_1spwq_27">Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. <span class="_byline_1spwq_48"> Foto: Heiko Junge / NTB</span></span></span><span class="_showMore_1spwq_59" hidden="">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island><section class="_byline_140bm_12 label-medium layout-component layout-normal layout-padded" id="byline"><div class="_singleAuthor_140bm_129"><div class="_authorInfo_140bm_164"><div class="label-medium bold"><span class="_name_140bm_117"><a class="_link_140bm_111" href="https://e24.no/forfatter/marianne-stensland">Marianne Stensland</a></span></div></div></div></section> <astro-island client="only" component-export="Timestamp" component-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Timestamp.DRSbOLFQ.js" opts="{"name":"Timestamp","value":"react"}" 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6.28438 21 6.15 21 6C21 5.85 20.9062 5.71562 20.7656 5.6625L19 5L18.3375 3.23438C18.2844 3.09375 18.15 3 18 3C17.85 3 17.7156 3.09375 17.6625 3.23438L17 5L15.2344 5.6625ZM9.45312 6.29063C9.37187 6.1125 9.19375 6 9 6C8.80625 6 8.62813 6.1125 8.54688 6.29063L6.8875 9.88438L3.29375 11.5437C3.1125 11.6281 3 11.8062 3 12C3 12.1938 3.1125 12.3719 3.29062 12.4531L6.88438 14.1125L8.54375 17.7063C8.625 17.8844 8.80312 17.9969 8.99687 17.9969C9.19062 17.9969 9.36875 17.8844 9.45 17.7063L11.1094 14.1125L14.7031 12.4531C14.8813 12.3719 14.9937 12.1938 14.9937 12C14.9937 11.8062 14.8813 11.6281 14.7031 11.5469L11.1094 9.8875L9.45 6.29375L9.45312 6.29063ZM16 17L14.2344 17.6625C14.0938 17.7156 14 17.85 14 18C14 18.15 14.0938 18.2844 14.2344 18.3375L16 19L16.6625 20.7656C16.7156 20.9062 16.85 21 17 21C17.15 21 17.2844 20.9062 17.3375 20.7656L18 19L19.7656 18.3375C19.9062 18.2844 20 18.15 20 18C20 17.85 19.9062 17.7156 19.7656 17.6625L18 17L17.3375 15.2344C17.2844 15.0938 17.15 15 17 15C16.85 15 16.7156 15.0938 16.6625 15.2344L16 17Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></div><div class="_disclaimer_1ysn4_72 body-small" hidden=""><span class="_text_1ysn4_89" data-nosnippet="true">Oppsummeringen er laget med kunstig intelligens og kvalitetssikret av E24s journalister.</span></div><ul class="_list_172ys_3 _list_1ysn4_106 _unordered_172ys_109 _textTheme_1yhmn_1 body-small"><li class="_item_172ys_34">Markedet priser inn over 50 prosent sjanse for at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.</li><li class="_item_172ys_34">Sjeføkonom Tore Grobæk Vamraak anslår 90 prosent sannsynlighet for renteheving og utelukker ikke en dobbel heving.</li><li class="_item_172ys_34">Høy inflasjon og lavere arbeidsledighet gjør at økonomer mener renten bør settes opp. </li></ul><button aria-controls="_r75R_0_" class="_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _capsule_1n2gi_83 _filled_1n2gi_112 _toggleButton_1oqm5_88" data-track-click-intent="Open" role="button" type="button">Vis mer</button></section></div></astro-island> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– De fleste <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst."><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="makroforholdene">makroforholdene</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst.</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at <a class="_link_172ys_43" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa">minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer</a> var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak. </p> <article class="_relatedArticle_f1clr_6 _relatedArticleTheme_1apph_1 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded"><a class="_link_f1clr_14" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:2pv6Xa" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a" data-track-impression="true" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp" data-track-position-source="related-article" href="https://e24.no/boers-og-finans/i/2pv6Xa/utenlandske-banker-har-minst-tro-paa-rentehopp"><figure class="_figure_f1clr_63"><img alt="" class="_image_f1clr_75" height="4680" loading="lazy" sizes="200px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=80&s=201696d566f0121c8c6fc8e2fe54bba54f81a7c1 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=100&s=9794b92e690fc2320725dff9cb33e6d9a0a80d57 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=200&s=7fa2e2c32107306b0728ba409c92dc0d4bdbf9fb 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=240&s=1064ff352e244ab01cc7658387074e4941ac3e75 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=480&s=4fe0c1168926f3bee50cfc427d983f42aa501a8d 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=580&s=8366802c2bec1079dd2b7a6d42849a206026c6c0 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=720&s=ebe43652489866d42cac280779bd6830841649fa 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1080&s=705d49a0698e1f891fe086780ae36b953f757244 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1440&s=570ad43d33b1f537b9970b9a430e239ccac0b913 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=2160&s=1dc2d03893a4b73b05a57ca72a9166116cd1bad0 2160w" width="7021"><span class="_paywallIcon_f1clr_52" data-skin="pluss"><svg fill="none" viewbox="0 0 44 24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><rect fill="var(--color-accent, #006D49)" height="24" rx="12" width="44"></rect><path d="M27.9371 14.2198H29V12.4505H27.9371V11.2782H25.5752V12.4505H22.977V12.4288C25.1242 11.5821 26.2301 10.1275 26.2301 8.52103V8.14111H23.7607V8.48847C23.7607 10.1601 23.1595 11.6364 21.7423 12.4505V14.2198H25.5322V16H27.9371V14.2198ZM18.9831 10.5183C18.9831 11.5712 17.4371 12.8087 14.8282 14.2198V16H21.3344V14.2198H16.6748V14.1981C19.7025 13.3948 21.431 12.1312 21.431 10.54V10.2469C21.431 8.78155 20.2607 8 18.296 8H18.092C15.9233 8 14.8712 8.90095 14.8712 10.7788V11.4193H17.2546V10.7788C17.2546 10.0516 17.5767 9.69335 18.1887 9.69335C18.7147 9.69335 18.9831 9.98643 18.9831 10.4966V10.5183ZM8 16H14.2914V14.2198H10.4049V12.9498H13.454V11.1696H10.4049V9.9213H14.227V8.14111H8V16Z" fill="var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)"></path><path d="M30 12.5986H37V11.4023H30V12.5986ZM32.9014 8.5V15.5H34.0977V8.5H32.9014Z" fill="var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)"></path></svg></span></figure><div class="_textContent_f1clr_33"><p class="label-small _kicker_f1clr_86">Les også</p><h3 class="title-small bold _title_f1clr_26">Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp</h3></div></a></article> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">– 90 prosent sannsynlighet</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien"><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="styringsrenten">styringsrenten</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen. </p> <div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-text-1"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_backfill_1" style="display:none"> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_backfill_1" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_backfill_1" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_backfill_1" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <astro-island await-children client="visible" component-export="Image" component-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js" opts="{"name":"Image","value":true}" prefix="r89" props="{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Sparebanken Norge"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,499],"height":[0,501]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,0],"y":[0,39],"width":[0,499],"height":[0,374]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,40],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,80],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,100],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,201],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,241],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,482],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737"],"width":[0,480]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}" renderer-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js" ssr uid="1nCN69"><figure class="_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal"><img alt="Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. " class="_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal" data-fullscreen-sizes="(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw" data-track-element-type="Article image fullscreen" data-track-name="ImageFullscreen" decoding="async" height="501" itemprop="image" loading="lazy" sizes="(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737 480w" style="object-position:50% 45.10978043912176%" width="499"><figcaption class="_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded"><span class="_captionElements_1spwq_27"><span class="_caption_1spwq_27">Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. <span class="_byline_1spwq_48"> Foto: Sparebanken Norge</span></span></span><span class="_showMore_1spwq_59" hidden="">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium"><em class="_em_172ys_39">– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?</em></p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget. </p> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">Styrket krone «neppe» nok</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">De peker på <a class="_link_172ys_43" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars">kraftig prisvekst i mars</a>. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke. </p> <div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-text-2"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_backfill_2" style="display:none"> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_backfill_2" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_backfill_2" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_backfill_2" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Lønnsoppgjøret i <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer."><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="frontfaget">frontfaget</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer.</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen». </p> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">– Har holdt renten litt lavere</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_2" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_2" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_2" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning». </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium"><em class="_em_172ys_39">– Hvorfor ikke?</em></p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium"> – Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå. </p> <astro-island await-children client="visible" component-export="Image" component-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js" opts="{"name":"Image","value":true}" prefix="r112" props="{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,8640],"height":[0,5760]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,1441],"y":[0,561],"width":[0,6225],"height":[0,4669]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,27],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,53],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,67],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,133],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,160],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,320],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7"],"width":[0,480]}],[0,{"height":[0,387],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092"],"width":[0,580]}],[0,{"height":[0,480],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b"],"width":[0,720]}],[0,{"height":[0,720],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93"],"width":[0,1080]}],[0,{"height":[0,960],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b"],"width":[0,1440]}],[0,{"height":[0,1440],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347"],"width":[0,2160]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}" renderer-url="https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js" ssr uid="Z219cwz"><figure class="_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal"><img alt="Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. " class="_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal" data-fullscreen-sizes="(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw" data-track-element-type="Article image fullscreen" data-track-name="ImageFullscreen" decoding="async" height="5760" itemprop="image" loading="lazy" sizes="(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347 2160w" style="object-position:52.70254629629629% 50.26909722222223%" width="8640"><figcaption class="_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded"><span class="_captionElements_1spwq_27"><span class="_caption_1spwq_27">Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. <span class="_byline_1spwq_48"> Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB</span></span></span><span class="_showMore_1spwq_59" hidden="">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året"><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="mer informasjon">mer informasjon</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året</span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen: </p> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_3" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_3" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_3" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. "><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="er lav og fortsatt faller">er lav og fortsatt faller</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. </span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span>». </p> <h2 class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium">– Fullstendig misforstått</h2> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi <span class="_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1" role="term" tabindex="0" title="Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. "><span data-track-click="true" data-track-content-id="WordExplainer" data-track-element-type="button" data-track-id="wordexplainer" data-track-name="pengemarkedsrenten">pengemarkedsrenten</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="_definition_172ys_151"><span>Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. </span><button class="_closeButton_172ys_155" tabindex="-1"><svg aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Cancel" fill="none" height="24" role="graphics-symbol" style="flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto" viewbox="0 0 24 24" width="24" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z" fill="var(--icon-color, currentColor)"></path></svg></button></span></span> har gått opp. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_4" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_4" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_4" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag. </p> <p class="_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium">– Det er allerede priset inn. </p> </section> <time class="label-small _timestamp_1sn1n_1 _full_1sn1n_29 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded" datetime="2026-05-07T04:04:13.000Z" itemprop="datePublished">Publisert: 07.05.26 kl. 06:04</time> <footer class="layout-component label-medium layout-normal layout-padded _tagsTheme_1yg8r_1" data-track-element-type="Tags" data-track-id="tags" data-track-impression data-track-name="Tags" data-track-primary-position="1" data-track-target-newsroom="e24"><nav class="_nav_10biv_5"><ul class="_list_10biv_6"><li class="_item_10biv_7"><a class="_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _rounded_1n2gi_37 _filled_1n2gi_112 _tag_10biv_18" data-track-id="tag:rente" 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class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_backfill_3" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="brandboard_jobs" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="brandboard_jobs" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-brandboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-brandboard__article" id="brandboard_jobs" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element> </article> <aside class="aside grouped" role="complementary"> <section class="_recirculation_o5r1j_1 layout-component" data-nosnippet data-test-id="recirculation" data-track-element-type="Recirculation"><h2 class="title-medium bold">Relaterte saker</h2><ul style="display: contents"><li><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="1" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:16oM0G" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="– Kommer til å sette opp renten" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="1" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/16oM0G/kommer-til-aa-sette-opp-renten"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10">– Kommer til å
sette opp renten</span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-04-10T06:17:33.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">10 april</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="5760" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=80&s=0d1efc59cbdb845709e3a3c939bdd4aeee38fbc7 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=100&s=f38d84c1ee7de8293922986b7474c1987ffcc546 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=200&s=c5ebb594a5fd82e5721d6c85a0af6bc068c59eff 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=240&s=b460324703191baa5456036f3dafc8cc90964d41 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=480&s=dd7ad0946c25d46aa84fdea169c1b9d5b513e2ae 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=580&s=da2fe169f60f3da0ca67002bd32cb4f00247f0b5 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=720&s=4cab4b90c52a17500afaa70619d83250e0a40474 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1080&s=01339a81faad97f64e45711c5b2c05ddb6ba13b4 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1440&s=0a19ff702b281ac2ed88114a965e63ca518c80c3 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=2160&s=743495f240f9133429a57b32046a607dd0c91394 2160w" style="object-position:initial" width="8640"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-recirculation"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_recirc_1" style="display:none"><track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_recirc_1" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_recirc_1" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_recirc_1" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="2" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:k00wrk" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Jekker opp renteutsiktene: – Kan settes opp to ganger i år" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="2" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/k00wrk/norges-bank-endrer-renteutsiktene"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><p class="label-small">Jekker opp renteutsiktene: </p><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10"> – Kan settes opp to ganger i år</span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-03-26T09:08:04.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">26 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="5661" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=80&s=d92170c65dd4c506ab647b742a1712598bb52688 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=100&s=6ebab2a438f8ad438f866bf072c71e5b2fc7df2b 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=200&s=46206cb181ba68773d67135407426371c79334b8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=240&s=4e089718cdb9f3f5514ad42b1dba646dfef5eef2 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=480&s=ec186b7032c0210d8f752b010cbec2c9a660d1a5 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=580&s=e07a828e9a69efe5d23959eb6857b59b1e3dcfcf 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=720&s=9f95f3ef8755cf90e0924959e4283ab8c7f665eb 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1080&s=726cd1597125566bf00076e0db399b2c4efdc9a5 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1440&s=d27707186de824d566624aee3866b5d002385d44 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=2160&s=0698712660cebbb6a96fd22dfeab940d68d0f1d5 2160w" style="object-position:initial" width="8491"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="3" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:vrrAzj" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Rentemøte: – Tittelen bør være «force majeure»" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="3" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/vrrAzj/rentemoete-tittelen-boer-vaere-force-majeure"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><p class="label-small">Rentemøte:</p><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10">– Reell mulighet
for heving </span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-03-25T18:18:54.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">25 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="3531" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=80&s=6f46701b68101ac03985d144f8f7d5345c6d4c2b 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=100&s=7a72fc2d5b599b1cef01bb443c3f0407e11fcd07 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=200&s=785564b4fcd6ecf3b20b28adfac6c122308af86e 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=240&s=5ebee0ef07d18fcd111272d811d181783d80996b 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=480&s=b67a098a032abdf95ff576069730eb50e868dcea 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=580&s=1644280093049ee52a0ee7bbbab53ae661cd71d9 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=720&s=04355612211ea512cdc0d79629a3fa5e4f7e6801 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1080&s=bfa499e1c6502512d10e78f84e507af6a6eb37db 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1440&s=b7ea0c47ff1dd1671c3468cbedb9a79b1188c6e8 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=2160&s=3b7909867be6b34a68fff1fe3a9abb5d97d303a1 2160w" style="object-position:49.63215008276623% 40.93741149815916%" width="5437"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height" data-edition-name="e24-native-in-recirculation-2"><div class="inscreen-target"></div><div class="container"></div><div class="fallback" data-fallback-target-id="netboard_recirc_2" style="display:none"><track-element data-track-element-type="AdSlot" data-track-id="netboard_recirc_2" data-track-impression="" data-track-name="netboard_recirc_2" data-track-primary-position="1"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article"><div class="advertory-e24-netboard__article" id="netboard_recirc_2" style="min-height:250px"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Free" data-track-access-level-name="open" data-track-bundle-position="4" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:0pvJ4o" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="– Vi må ha høyere rente" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="4" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a class="label-primary _link_1hilu_48" data-use-overlay-player="false" href="https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/0pvJ4o/vi-maa-ha-hoeyere-rente"><div class="_content_1hilu_11"><div class="_titleContainer_1hilu_149"><h2 class="_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold"><span class="_text_ee18u_10">– Vi må ha
høyere rente</span></h2></div><div class="_metaFooter_1hilu_197"><ul class="_meta_1hilu_111 label-small"><li class="_item_1hilu_114"><time class="_timestamp_1hilu_217" datetime="2026-05-04T03:00:00.000Z"><span data-nosnippet="true">4 mai</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class="_picture_1hilu_144"><img alt="" class="_image_1hilu_35" height="5464" loading="lazy" sizes="300px" src="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03" srcset="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=80&s=202fed7d37665250e8bd2816841a7e7777575103 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=100&s=e282e656d27003d81b6878fe59302562374aa68e 100w, 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https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=2160&s=5a609f7dbb711b7fba667f20df3da955e37b0dd0 2160w" style="object-position:initial" width="8192"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class="_teaserTheme_12l2z_1"><track-element data-track-access-level="Paid" data-track-access-level-name="subscription" data-track-bundle-position="5" data-track-click-intent="View" data-track-element-size="small" data-track-element-type="Teaser" data-track-id="teaser:2pv6Xa" data-track-image-url="https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a" data-track-impression="" data-track-layout-name="image:right" data-track-name="Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp" data-track-position-source="related-articles-list" data-track-primary-position="5" data-track-target-newsroom="e24" data-track-target-type="Article"><article class="_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58"><a 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1.387-1.104-.857-1.935-1.744.298-.629-1.419 8.477-1.262zm-4.12 3.408l2.199-1.708-2.752.46.552 1.248zm6.581 3.324l.456 2.282c.168.841.066 1.593-.312 2.16-.341.511-.926.88-1.756 1.045l-.07.014c-1.151.23-1.969-.146-2.514-.78l-2.84 2.04-.342-1.716 2.489-1.756-.136-.68-2.73.546-.308-1.545 8.063-1.61zm-3.532 2.947c.168.84.76 1.166 1.531 1.012.853-.17 1.176-.714 1.008-1.555l-.115-.576-2.546.508.122.61zM40 80C17.944 80 0 62.048 0 39.982h1.33C1.33 61.314 18.677 78.67 40 78.67s38.67-17.355 38.67-38.687H80C80 62.048 62.056 80 40 80z" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik fill-rule="evenodd"></path> </svg> </a> </div> </div> <p class="label-small" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
E24 arbeider etter
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.presse.no/vaer-varsom-plakaten">
Vær Varsom-plakatens regler for god presseskikk
</a>,
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://e24.no/etiske-retningslinjer">
E24s etiske retningslinjer
</a> og
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.redaktor.no/ressurser/etiske-og-juridiske-rammeverk/redaktorplakaten">
Redaktørplakaten
</a>. Den som mener seg rammet av urettmessig medieomtale, oppfordres
til å ta kontakt med redaksjonen. Pressens Faglige Utvalg (PFU) er et
klageorgan som behandler klager mot mediene i presseetiske spørsmål.
For informasjon om klageadgang, se: <a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.presse.no/hvordan-klage-til-pfu">
www.presse.no
</a> </p> <p class="label-small shortCopyright" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
© 2026, E24
</p> </div> <div class="_misc_e3b6k_172" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <dl data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <dt class="label-small bold" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>Adresse:</dt> <dd class="_miscContent_e3b6k_181 label-small" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
Akersgata 55<br data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>0180 OSLO
</dd> </dl> <div class="_miscContent_e3b6k_181" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <p class="label-small" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>
Kurser er levert av
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.oslobors.no/">Oslo Børs</a>,
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.infront.co/no/en.html">Infront</a>
og
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.theice.com/market-data">ICE Data Services</a>.
Kurser - med unntak av Hovedindeksen - er 15 minutter forsinket.
Estimater er levert av
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://www.factset.com/">Factset</a>. Data relatert til
krypto-valutaer er levert av<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://firi.com/no">
Firi AS
</a>. Det tas forbehold om eventuelle feil og mangler i data.
(Copyright and Terms of Use Notice:
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://e24.no/informasjon/terms-of-use/ice-futures">
ICE Futures
</a>,
<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href="https://e24.no/informasjon/terms-of-use/ftse-100">
FTSE 100
</a>)
</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> </footer> </body></html>
🗄️ Database Row (All Fields)
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"content" : "– De fleste makroforholdeneØkonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.\n\nNorges Banks eget rentereferat viste at [minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa) var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet.\n\n– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.\n\n## – 90 prosent sannsynlighet\n\nÅrets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.\n\nMarkedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.\n\nFlere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.\n\n– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.\n\nHan anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.\n\n– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå.\n\n*– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?*\n\n– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå.\n\nNorges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.\n\n## Styrket krone «neppe» nok\n\n«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets\\-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.\n\nDe peker på [kraftig prisvekst i mars](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars). Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.\n\n«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran\\-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.\n\nAndreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag.\n\nLønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått \\(4,5 prosent\\). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».\n\n## – Har holdt renten litt lavere\n\nVamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen.\n\n– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.\n\nI tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente\\-og\\-se\\-holdning».\n\n– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.\n\n*– Hvorfor ikke?*\n\n– Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.\n\nTvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå.\n\nCekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons\\- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank\\-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.\n\nØkonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:\n\n«Norges Banks jobb er \\(...\\) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet \\(AKU\\) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker \\(deltids\\)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».\n\n## – Fullstendig misforstått\n\nRett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.\n\nSterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen.\n\n– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gått opp.\n\nDet skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.\n\n– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.\n\nDet gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente\\- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag.\n\n– Det er allerede priset inn.",
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"metadata" : "{\"image_url\":\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480\",\"twitter\":{},\"description\":\"Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\",\"author\":\"Marianne Stensland\",\"is_paywalled\":0,\"meta\":{\"publisheddate\":\"2026-05-07\",\"description\":\"Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\",\"viewport\":\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1\",\"keywords\":\"Rente, Rentemøte, Norges Bank\",\"robots\":\"max-image-preview:large, noarchive\"},\"keywords\":[\"Rente\",\"Rentemøte\",\"Norges Bank\"],\"content\":\"â De fleste makroforholdeneÃkonomiske forhold som pÃ¥virker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst. tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge.\\n\\nNorges Banks eget rentereferat viste at [minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa) var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for Ã¥ heve renten» allerede pÃ¥ marsmøtet.\\n\\nâ Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til Ã¥ kunne gjøre det â det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. NÃ¥ har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nÃ¥ velger Ã¥ sette opp renten, sier Vamraak.\\n\\n## â 90 prosent sannsynlighet\\n\\nÃ
rets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag.\\n\\nMarkedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at styringsrentenRenten som settes av sentralbanken og som pÃ¥virker rentenivÃ¥et i hele økonomien heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent.\\n\\nFlere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er pÃ¥ vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende.\\n\\nâ Jeg er ganske sikker pÃ¥ at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen.\\n\\nHan anslÃ¥r rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken.\\n\\nâ Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nÃ¥.\\n\\n*â SÃ¥ du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?*\\n\\nâ Nei, men nÃ¥r jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving pÃ¥ 0,25 prosentpoeng, sÃ¥ er det jo fÃ¥ prosenter igjen til Ã¥ holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nÃ¥.\\n\\nNorges Bank har ogsÃ¥ tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak.\\n\\nâ SÃ¥ jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror pÃ¥ to rentehevinger i løpet av Ã¥ret, og det tror jeg ogsÃ¥ er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget.\\n\\n## Styrket krone «neppe» nok\\n\\n«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets\\\\-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov.\\n\\nDe peker pÃ¥ [kraftig prisvekst i mars](https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars). Tallene for april kommer først neste uke.\\n\\n«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst pÃ¥ varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran\\\\-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag.\\n\\nAndreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn pÃ¥ forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til Ã¥ utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\\n\\nLønnsoppgjøret i frontfagetDen delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer. endte med en lønnsvekst pÃ¥ 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslÃ¥tt \\\\(4,5 prosent\\\\). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker pÃ¥ at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen».\\n\\n## â Har holdt renten litt lavere\\n\\nVamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir pÃ¥ torsdag, men peker pÃ¥ to forhold som peker i den retningen.\\n\\nâ Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for Ã¥ holde seg til hovedmøtene nÃ¥r de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, sÃ¥ det kan tilsi at de venter til juni.\\n\\nI tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for Ã¥ innta en «vente\\\\-og\\\\-se\\\\-holdning».\\n\\nâ Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen.\\n\\n*â Hvorfor ikke?*\\n\\nââ Norges Banks hovedformÃ¥l er Ã¥ holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal ogsÃ¥ sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste Ã¥rene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nÃ¥ er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette.\\n\\nTvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes pÃ¥ det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivÃ¥.\\n\\nCekov og Andreassen peker pÃ¥ at Norges Bank vil ha mer informasjonblant annet to nye inflasjons\\\\- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank\\\\-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen pÃ¥ norsk økonomi fire ganger i Ã¥ret dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni.\\n\\nÃkonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen sÃ¥ mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Ã
vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, pÃ¥peker de, men slÃ¥r raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen:\\n\\n«Norges Banks jobb er \\\\(...\\\\) ikke Ã¥ være populær, men Ã¥ følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for Ã¥ ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken nÃ¥r inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten er lav og fortsatt fallerCekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren pÃ¥ balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs mÃ¥ling av arbeidsledighet \\\\(AKU\\\\) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 Ã¥r som søker \\\\(deltids\\\\)jobb â ikke en bred økning i ledigheten pÃ¥ grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. ».\\n\\n## â Fullstendig misforstÃ¥tt\\n\\nRett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront.\\n\\nSterkere krone kan gi lavere priser pÃ¥ utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for Ã¥ bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for Ã¥ utsette rentehevingen.\\n\\nâ Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg sÃ¥ mye at man nÃ¥ ikke trenger Ã¥ heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstÃ¥tt. Kronen har styrket seg fordi pengemarkedsrentenPengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene Ã¥ lÃ¥ne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre mÃ¥neders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. har gÃ¥tt opp.\\n\\nDet skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak.\\n\\nâ SÃ¥ man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt Ã¥penbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter.\\n\\nDet gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente\\\\- og valutamarkedet vil være smÃ¥ dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer pÃ¥ torsdag.\\n\\nâ Det er allerede priset inn.\",\"title\":\"Sjeføkonom sikker pÃ¥ renteheving: â Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to \",\"source_updated_at\":\"2026-05-06 20:19:43\",\"published_at\":\"2026-05-07 04:04:13\",\"og\":{\"description\":\"Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.\",\"title\":\"Sjeføkonom sikker pÃ¥ renteheving: â Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to \",\"site_name\":\"E24\",\"type\":\"article\",\"image\":\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480\",\"url\":\"https://e24.no/i/oEMrnW\"},\"schema\":{\"microdata\":{\"datePublished\":\"Publisert: 07.05.26 kl. 06:04\",\"articleBody\":\" \"}},\"raw_feed_item\":\"<item>\\n <title><![CDATA[Sjeføkonom er sikker pÃ¥ renteheving]]></title>\\n <link>https://www.aftenposten.no/e24/i/oEMrnW</link>\\n <guid>https://www.aftenposten.no/i/rrzLQ8</guid>\\n <pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 04:56:10 GMT</pubDate>\\n <description><![CDATA[Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten pÃ¥ torsdag.]]></description>\\n <enclosure length=\\\"65535\\\" type=\\\"image/jpeg\\\" url=\\\"https://premium.vgc.no/v2/images/5f1d1544-22cb-399d-9c82-7b435f8921fd?fit=crop&format=auto&h=1152&tight=true&w=2048&s=24ee06d33c6b0330d310b4fbb908f5f446ab060b\\\" />\\n </item>\"}",
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"published_at" : "2026-05-07 04:04:13",
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økonomi\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi\"> Norsk økonomi </a> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <h1 class=\"_title_1yfsd_8 _small_1yfsd_38 _brandTitle_3eil8_1 title-large bold\"> <span class=\"_text_1yfsd_60\"> Sjeføkonom sikker på renteheving: – Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to </span> </h1> </div><p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _lead_172ys_2 _lead_qg7rf_18 layout-component layout-wide layout-padded _lead_o6m9k_5 body-large _wide_o6m9k_9\">Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.</p><astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"Image\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Image","value":true}\" prefix=\"r27\" props=\"{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. "],"byline":[0," Foto: Heiko Junge / NTB"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,7358],"height":[0,4908]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,27],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,53],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=80&s=3266830c289691931ac34351d9423696b6aff085"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,67],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=100&s=8f5284bcf5f2b3412ea4c64e21c68440eb420735"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,133],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=200&s=384ce0ac182e90c49a20ec0e812ae45e8091dc31"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,160],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=240&s=1f8092b1e3b30217bb74e166ed59473df336f250"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,320],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=480&s=6392950e313e40c14271a6f2c0064264e78d4513"],"width":[0,480]}],[0,{"height":[0,387],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=580&s=429ee296013f10062d68a8ae6b5ba69e38819820"],"width":[0,580]}],[0,{"height":[0,480],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=720&s=60ad922d277aa8156315c72b6df509b8aad68307"],"width":[0,720]}],[0,{"height":[0,720],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480"],"width":[0,1080]}],[0,{"height":[0,961],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1440&s=f3da4fe126a103338d03d799e77ed10c1cdb0c4e"],"width":[0,1440]}],[0,{"height":[0,1441],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=2160&s=0507f8fdd5a6c47e3fe31c6b6a82b5e434f7191f"],"width":[0,2160]}]]]}],"layout":[0,"wide"],"loading":[0,"eager"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}\" 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480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=580&s=429ee296013f10062d68a8ae6b5ba69e38819820 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=720&s=60ad922d277aa8156315c72b6df509b8aad68307 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1440&s=f3da4fe126a103338d03d799e77ed10c1cdb0c4e 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=2160&s=0507f8fdd5a6c47e3fe31c6b6a82b5e434f7191f 2160w\" rel=\"preload\"><figure class=\"_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-wide\"><img alt=\"Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. \" class=\"_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-wide\" data-fullscreen-sizes=\"(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw\" data-track-element-type=\"Article image fullscreen\" data-track-name=\"ImageFullscreen\" decoding=\"sync\" fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"4908\" itemprop=\"image\" loading=\"eager\" sizes=\"(min-width: 978px) 978px, 100vw\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=40&s=32ccc5e3175c83968215dda429e1585590d60820 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=80&s=3266830c289691931ac34351d9423696b6aff085 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=100&s=8f5284bcf5f2b3412ea4c64e21c68440eb420735 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=200&s=384ce0ac182e90c49a20ec0e812ae45e8091dc31 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=240&s=1f8092b1e3b30217bb74e166ed59473df336f250 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=480&s=6392950e313e40c14271a6f2c0064264e78d4513 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=580&s=429ee296013f10062d68a8ae6b5ba69e38819820 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=720&s=60ad922d277aa8156315c72b6df509b8aad68307 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1080&s=3c768c8e6ee8042ff2677b5085db7bfa78feb480 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=1440&s=f3da4fe126a103338d03d799e77ed10c1cdb0c4e 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/5fc75969-6f32-3cb6-9b47-a49b64fcccef?format=auto&w=2160&s=0507f8fdd5a6c47e3fe31c6b6a82b5e434f7191f 2160w\" style=\"object-position:0% 0%\" width=\"7358\"><figcaption class=\"_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded\"><span class=\"_captionElements_1spwq_27\"><span class=\"_caption_1spwq_27\">Sentralbanksjef Ida Wolden Bache holder pressekonferanse i forbindelse med Norges Banks rentebeslutning i januar. <span class=\"_byline_1spwq_48\"> Foto: Heiko Junge / NTB</span></span></span><span class=\"_showMore_1spwq_59\" hidden=\"\">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island><section class=\"_byline_140bm_12 label-medium layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\" id=\"byline\"><div class=\"_singleAuthor_140bm_129\"><div class=\"_authorInfo_140bm_164\"><div class=\"label-medium bold\"><span class=\"_name_140bm_117\"><a class=\"_link_140bm_111\" href=\"https://e24.no/forfatter/marianne-stensland\">Marianne Stensland</a></span></div></div></div></section> <astro-island client=\"only\" component-export=\"Timestamp\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Timestamp.DRSbOLFQ.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Timestamp","value":"react"}\" props=\"{"alignment":[0],"articlePosition":[0,"top"],"layout":[0,"normal"],"showUpdated":[0,true],"type":[0,"friendly"],"created":[0,"2026-05-04T07:28:08Z"],"updated":[0,"2026-05-06T20:19:43Z"],"firstPublished":[0,"2026-05-07T04:04:13Z"],"published":[0,"2026-05-07T04:04:13Z"]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"Z2hIvVY\"></astro-island> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_1\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_1\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_1\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </header> <braze-content-card-element class=\"layout-component layout-normal\" data-position=\"top\" data-publisher=\"e24\"></braze-content-card-element> <braze-banner-element class=\"layout-component layout-normal\" data-placement=\"e24_article_1_small\"></braze-banner-element> <section class=\"article-body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" style=\"display: contents\"> <astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"ArticleSummary\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/ArticleSummary.C7UqiXfk.js\" opts=\"{"name":"ArticleSummary","value":true}\" prefix=\"r75\" props=\"{"articleSummary":[1,[[0,{"items":[1,[[0,{"value":[0,"Markedet priser inn over 50 prosent sjanse for at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag."],"markup":[1,[]]}],[0,{"value":[0,"Sjeføkonom Tore Grobæk Vamraak anslår 90 prosent sannsynlighet for renteheving og utelukker ikke en dobbel heving."],"markup":[1,[]]}],[0,{"value":[0,"Høy inflasjon og lavere arbeidsledighet gjør at økonomer mener renten bør settes opp. "],"markup":[1,[]]}]]],"blockType":[0,"list:unordered"]}]]],"type":[0,"news"]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"1CY4wg\"><div class=\"_summary_1ysn4_13 _articleSummaryTheme_1q7xn_1 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\" data-theme=\"accent\"><section aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-label=\"Utvid\" class=\"_expandableBox_1oqm5_9 layout-component layout-normal _box_1ysn4_28\" id=\"_r75R_0_\" role=\"region\" style=\"max-height:var(--height)\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1ysn4_66\"><h2 class=\"_title_1ysn4_66 title-medium bold\">Kortversjonen</h2><button aria-label=\"Vis informasjon\" class=\"_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _capsule_1n2gi_83 _infoButton_1ysn4_43\" data-track-click-intent=\"Open\" data-track-id=\"article-summary-disclaimer\" data-track-name=\"Article Summary Disclaimer\" role=\"button\" type=\"button\"><svg aria-label=\"Ai\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M15.2344 5.6625C15.0938 5.71562 15 5.85 15 6C15 6.15 15.0938 6.28438 15.2344 6.3375L17 7L17.6625 8.76562C17.7156 8.90625 17.85 9 18 9C18.15 9 18.2844 8.90625 18.3375 8.76562L19 7L20.7656 6.3375C20.9062 6.28438 21 6.15 21 6C21 5.85 20.9062 5.71562 20.7656 5.6625L19 5L18.3375 3.23438C18.2844 3.09375 18.15 3 18 3C17.85 3 17.7156 3.09375 17.6625 3.23438L17 5L15.2344 5.6625ZM9.45312 6.29063C9.37187 6.1125 9.19375 6 9 6C8.80625 6 8.62813 6.1125 8.54688 6.29063L6.8875 9.88438L3.29375 11.5437C3.1125 11.6281 3 11.8062 3 12C3 12.1938 3.1125 12.3719 3.29062 12.4531L6.88438 14.1125L8.54375 17.7063C8.625 17.8844 8.80312 17.9969 8.99687 17.9969C9.19062 17.9969 9.36875 17.8844 9.45 17.7063L11.1094 14.1125L14.7031 12.4531C14.8813 12.3719 14.9937 12.1938 14.9937 12C14.9937 11.8062 14.8813 11.6281 14.7031 11.5469L11.1094 9.8875L9.45 6.29375L9.45312 6.29063ZM16 17L14.2344 17.6625C14.0938 17.7156 14 17.85 14 18C14 18.15 14.0938 18.2844 14.2344 18.3375L16 19L16.6625 20.7656C16.7156 20.9062 16.85 21 17 21C17.15 21 17.2844 20.9062 17.3375 20.7656L18 19L19.7656 18.3375C19.9062 18.2844 20 18.15 20 18C20 17.85 19.9062 17.7156 19.7656 17.6625L18 17L17.3375 15.2344C17.2844 15.0938 17.15 15 17 15C16.85 15 16.7156 15.0938 16.6625 15.2344L16 17Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></div><div class=\"_disclaimer_1ysn4_72 body-small\" hidden=\"\"><span class=\"_text_1ysn4_89\" data-nosnippet=\"true\">Oppsummeringen er laget med kunstig intelligens og kvalitetssikret av E24s journalister.</span></div><ul class=\"_list_172ys_3 _list_1ysn4_106 _unordered_172ys_109 _textTheme_1yhmn_1 body-small\"><li class=\"_item_172ys_34\">Markedet priser inn over 50 prosent sjanse for at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.</li><li class=\"_item_172ys_34\">Sjeføkonom Tore Grobæk Vamraak anslår 90 prosent sannsynlighet for renteheving og utelukker ikke en dobbel heving.</li><li class=\"_item_172ys_34\">Høy inflasjon og lavere arbeidsledighet gjør at økonomer mener renten bør settes opp. </li></ul><button aria-controls=\"_r75R_0_\" class=\"_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _capsule_1n2gi_83 _filled_1n2gi_112 _toggleButton_1oqm5_88\" data-track-click-intent=\"Open\" role=\"button\" type=\"button\">Vis mer</button></section></div></astro-island> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– De fleste <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst.\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"makroforholdene\">makroforholdene</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Økonomiske forhold som påvirker hele økonomien, som inflasjon, arbeidsledighet og økonomisk vekst.</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> tilsa allerede i mars at inflasjonen har bitt seg godt fast, og at renten bør opp, sier Tore Grobæk Vamraak, sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Norges Banks eget rentereferat viste at <a class=\"_link_172ys_43\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnn4Jo/tror-to-medlemmer-ville-heve-renten-naa\">minst to av rentekomiteens fem medlemmer</a> var bekymret for prisveksten og mente det «talte for å heve renten» allerede på marsmøtet. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Men da hadde ikke Norges Bank beredt grunnen til å kunne gjøre det – det ville vært en overraskelse i markedet. Det ønsket de ikke. Nå har de gjort det, og det blir ingen overraskelse hvis de nå velger å sette opp renten, sier Vamraak. </p> <article class=\"_relatedArticle_f1clr_6 _relatedArticleTheme_1apph_1 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\"><a class=\"_link_f1clr_14\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:2pv6Xa\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a\" data-track-impression=\"true\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp\" data-track-position-source=\"related-article\" href=\"https://e24.no/boers-og-finans/i/2pv6Xa/utenlandske-banker-har-minst-tro-paa-rentehopp\"><figure class=\"_figure_f1clr_63\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_f1clr_75\" height=\"4680\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"200px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=40&s=7ab654842e99da3230fb01ff0b9bb645e9bbb34a 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=80&s=201696d566f0121c8c6fc8e2fe54bba54f81a7c1 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=100&s=9794b92e690fc2320725dff9cb33e6d9a0a80d57 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=200&s=7fa2e2c32107306b0728ba409c92dc0d4bdbf9fb 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=240&s=1064ff352e244ab01cc7658387074e4941ac3e75 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=480&s=4fe0c1168926f3bee50cfc427d983f42aa501a8d 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=580&s=8366802c2bec1079dd2b7a6d42849a206026c6c0 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=720&s=ebe43652489866d42cac280779bd6830841649fa 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1080&s=705d49a0698e1f891fe086780ae36b953f757244 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=1440&s=570ad43d33b1f537b9970b9a430e239ccac0b913 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/6a902faf-9d54-30cd-8578-7b865a51f4ba?format=auto&w=2160&s=1dc2d03893a4b73b05a57ca72a9166116cd1bad0 2160w\" width=\"7021\"><span class=\"_paywallIcon_f1clr_52\" data-skin=\"pluss\"><svg fill=\"none\" viewbox=\"0 0 44 24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><rect fill=\"var(--color-accent, #006D49)\" height=\"24\" rx=\"12\" width=\"44\"></rect><path d=\"M27.9371 14.2198H29V12.4505H27.9371V11.2782H25.5752V12.4505H22.977V12.4288C25.1242 11.5821 26.2301 10.1275 26.2301 8.52103V8.14111H23.7607V8.48847C23.7607 10.1601 23.1595 11.6364 21.7423 12.4505V14.2198H25.5322V16H27.9371V14.2198ZM18.9831 10.5183C18.9831 11.5712 17.4371 12.8087 14.8282 14.2198V16H21.3344V14.2198H16.6748V14.1981C19.7025 13.3948 21.431 12.1312 21.431 10.54V10.2469C21.431 8.78155 20.2607 8 18.296 8H18.092C15.9233 8 14.8712 8.90095 14.8712 10.7788V11.4193H17.2546V10.7788C17.2546 10.0516 17.5767 9.69335 18.1887 9.69335C18.7147 9.69335 18.9831 9.98643 18.9831 10.4966V10.5183ZM8 16H14.2914V14.2198H10.4049V12.9498H13.454V11.1696H10.4049V9.9213H14.227V8.14111H8V16Z\" fill=\"var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)\"></path><path d=\"M30 12.5986H37V11.4023H30V12.5986ZM32.9014 8.5V15.5H34.0977V8.5H32.9014Z\" fill=\"var(--color-text-on-accent, #FFFBF8)\"></path></svg></span></figure><div class=\"_textContent_f1clr_33\"><p class=\"label-small _kicker_f1clr_86\">Les også</p><h3 class=\"title-small bold _title_f1clr_26\">Utenlandske banker har minst tro på rentehopp</h3></div></a></article> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">– 90 prosent sannsynlighet</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Årets tredje rentebeslutning legges fram av Norges Bank torsdag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Markedet priser inn litt over 50 prosent sjanse for at <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"styringsrenten\">styringsrenten</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Renten som settes av sentralbanken og som påvirker rentenivået i hele økonomien</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> heves med 0,25 prosentpoeng, ifølge Bloomberg. Tidligere i uken har sjansen vært over 60 prosent. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Flere sjeføkonomer og meglerhus er på vippen om hvorvidt de tror det første av to annonserte rentehevinger kommer i mai eller juni, men Vamraak er mindre tvilende. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Jeg er ganske sikker på at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag, sier sjeføkonomen. </p> <div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-text-1\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_backfill_1\" style=\"display:none\"> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_backfill_1\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_backfill_1\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_backfill_1\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"Image\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Image","value":true}\" prefix=\"r89\" props=\"{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Sparebanken Norge"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,499],"height":[0,501]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,0],"y":[0,39],"width":[0,499],"height":[0,374]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,40],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,80],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,100],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,201],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,241],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,482],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737"],"width":[0,480]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"1nCN69\"><figure class=\"_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal\"><img alt=\"Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. \" class=\"_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal\" data-fullscreen-sizes=\"(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw\" data-track-element-type=\"Article image fullscreen\" data-track-name=\"ImageFullscreen\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"501\" itemprop=\"image\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=40&s=3f2877ce4ea33795f51a06054dffd3d89bbd7c1f 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=80&s=fd93682131b1d5c991fdc6fa1d2667b879bcafcf 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=100&s=5d61b5ff2de01198fe32e71f6f0522e0bc51fa71 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=200&s=192942d2b194fe9570f3db6081f96ddddc5067c8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=240&s=cc907ede474e6891d618deaeb2f756fc453ccd44 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/0a0811ff-69e0-3616-a127-1207c8504d76?format=auto&w=480&s=d58577330dbf13126c262d968a240b8b60c1c737 480w\" style=\"object-position:50% 45.10978043912176%\" width=\"499\"><figcaption class=\"_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded\"><span class=\"_captionElements_1spwq_27\"><span class=\"_caption_1spwq_27\">Tore Grobæk Vamraak er sjeføkonom i Sparebanken Norge. <span class=\"_byline_1spwq_48\"> Foto: Sparebanken Norge</span></span></span><span class=\"_showMore_1spwq_59\" hidden=\"\">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Han anslår rundt 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en «enkel» renteheving denne uken. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Man skal heller ikke utelukke muligheten for to rentehevinger nå. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\"><em class=\"_em_172ys_39\">– Så du utelukker ikke en dobbel renteheving?</em></p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Nei, men når jeg sier at det er 90 prosent sannsynlighet for en heving på 0,25 prosentpoeng, så er det jo få prosenter igjen til å holde renten i ro eller komme med en dobbeltheving nå. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Norges Bank har også tradisjon for en forsiktig justering av renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Så jeg tror nok de vil vente med en ytterligere heving. Markedet tror på to rentehevinger i løpet av året, og det tror jeg også er et realistisk scenario. Da vil Norges Bank kunne se an hvordan renteøkningen virker før de tar det neste steget. </p> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">Styrket krone «neppe» nok</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">«Vi tror at rentehevingen kommer nå», skriver SB1 Markets-økonomene Harald Magnus Andreassen og Dane Cekov. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">De peker på <a class=\"_link_172ys_43\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/lnKwe3/prisveksten-steg-kraftig-til-3-6-prosent-i-mars\">kraftig prisvekst i mars</a>. Tallene for april kommer først neste uke. </p> <div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-text-2\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_backfill_2\" style=\"display:none\"> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_backfill_2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_backfill_2\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_backfill_2\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">«Norges Banks største problem er høy prisvekst på varer og tjenester som produseres i Norge, problemet er ikke «importert» eller Iran-drevet», heter det i et notat sendt ut mandag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Andreassen og Cekov legger til at kronekursen er 1,2 prosent sterkere enn hva Norges Bank la til grunn på forrige rentemøte, men at det «neppe» er nok til å utsette rentehevingen til juni. I stedet mener de at kronen kan falle «noe tilbake» dersom Norges Bank ikke hever renten på torsdag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Lønnsoppgjøret i <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer.\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"frontfaget\">frontfaget</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Den delen av arbeidsmarkedet som først forhandler om lønn, og som ofte setter standarden for andre sektorer.</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> endte med en lønnsvekst på 4,4 prosent. Det er lavere enn hva Norges Bank har anslått (4,5 prosent). Lønnsveksten kan likevel ta seg opp i tiden som kommer, ifølge økonomene, som peker på at den vanligvis ender noe høyere enn «rammen». </p> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">– Har holdt renten litt lavere</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Vamraak i Sparebanken Norge ser ikke mange grunner til at rentehevingen uteblir på torsdag, men peker på to forhold som peker i den retningen. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Norges Bank har en forkjærlighet for å holde seg til hovedmøtene når de hever renten. Dette er et mellommøte, så det kan tilsi at de venter til juni. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_2\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_2\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">I tillegg trekker han frem sentralbankens tradisjon for å innta en «vente-og-se-holdning». </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Men jeg tror ingen av de to grunnene er sterke nok denne gangen. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\"><em class=\"_em_172ys_39\">– Hvorfor ikke?</em></p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\"> – Norges Banks hovedformål er å holde inflasjonen lav, men de skal også sørge for en høy og stabil sysselsetting. De siste årene har de holdt renten litt lavere enn det inflasjonen skulle tilsi, og per nå er det ingenting i arbeidsmarkedet som tilsier at man skal holde renten lav av hensyn til dette. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Tvert imot mener Vamraak at det kan bygge seg opp ustabilitet i arbeidsmarkedet dersom renten holdes på det han mener er et unormalt lavt nivå. </p> <astro-island await-children client=\"visible\" component-export=\"Image\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Image.B9L_nnj7.js\" opts=\"{"name":"Image","value":true}\" prefix=\"r112\" props=\"{"alt":[0],"caption":[0,"Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. "],"byline":[0,"Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB"],"device":[0],"imageAsset":[0,{"id":[0,"b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2"],"size":[0,{"width":[0,8640],"height":[0,5760]}],"hotspot":[0,{"x":[0,1441],"y":[0,561],"width":[0,6225],"height":[0,4669]}],"urls":[1,[[0,{"height":[0,27],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab"],"width":[0,40]}],[0,{"height":[0,53],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5"],"width":[0,80]}],[0,{"height":[0,67],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642"],"width":[0,100]}],[0,{"height":[0,133],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c"],"width":[0,200]}],[0,{"height":[0,160],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb"],"width":[0,240]}],[0,{"height":[0,320],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7"],"width":[0,480]}],[0,{"height":[0,387],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092"],"width":[0,580]}],[0,{"height":[0,480],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b"],"width":[0,720]}],[0,{"height":[0,720],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93"],"width":[0,1080]}],[0,{"height":[0,960],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b"],"width":[0,1440]}],[0,{"height":[0,1440],"url":[0,"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347"],"width":[0,2160]}]]]}],"layout":[0],"marginBottom":[0],"padded":[0],"type":[0,"news"],"language":[0,"no"],"brand":[0,"e24"],"editorialJudgment":[0]}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"Z219cwz\"><figure class=\"_figure_1spwq_1 layout-component layout-normal\"><img alt=\"Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. \" class=\"_image_1spwq_90 layout-component layout-normal\" data-fullscreen-sizes=\"(min-width: 1000px) 2000px, 2000vw\" data-track-element-type=\"Article image fullscreen\" data-track-name=\"ImageFullscreen\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"5760\" itemprop=\"image\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(min-width: 580px) 580px, 100vw\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=40&s=0bbacda92ec1c32ae5e330c11f901a67ab812bab 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=80&s=c1d63289d87488a273cac12891a6ffcb5123f9f5 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=100&s=aa659648155ac474f0858cd4ef1e1b296d6a6642 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=200&s=52402a327bdc79b9a9547d5f7b359029d69dd86c 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=240&s=eb478713f3f600911b65a621c8e14192a67a7abb 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=480&s=cc4ebb2295de6286c0114942799d5b776ccb13e7 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=580&s=547993c340040d5ab6ba400d7e879632e5573092 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=720&s=cbb7c2270b45760ec085ec996585410784c2da1b 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1080&s=fea4a3e6f38057a8f39013498112cea5fbfc9d93 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=1440&s=81464103af22f0a29536e5596c0b3ea053140e4b 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/b73167ab-f3d2-3a7b-9244-62de379389f2?format=auto&w=2160&s=713fdb6f545e58d5ec89ae207ddaf1c031669347 2160w\" style=\"object-position:52.70254629629629% 50.26909722222223%\" width=\"8640\"><figcaption class=\"_figcaption_1spwq_10 caption layout-component layout-padded\"><span class=\"_captionElements_1spwq_27\"><span class=\"_caption_1spwq_27\">Seniorstrateg Dane Cekov og sjeføkonom Harald Magnus Andreassen i Sparebank1 Markets. <span class=\"_byline_1spwq_48\"> Foto: Terje Bendiksby, NTB</span></span></span><span class=\"_showMore_1spwq_59\" hidden=\"\">Vis mer</span></figcaption></figure></astro-island> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Cekov og Andreassen peker på at Norges Bank vil ha <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året\"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"mer informasjon\">mer informasjon</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>blant annet to nye inflasjons- og arbeidsmarkedstall, i tillegg til Norges Bank-rapporten Regionalt Nettverk, som tar tempen på norsk økonomi fire ganger i året</span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> dersom den utsetter rentehevingen til juni. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Økonomene tror imidlertid det skal «mye til for at disse datapunktene endrer utsiktene for inflasjonen så mye at banken ikke vil heve renten». Å vente til juni kan kanskje dempe noe av kritikken og misnøyen rundt signalene om rentehevinger, påpeker de, men slår raskt fra seg denne argumentasjonen: </p> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_3\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_3\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_3\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">«Norges Banks jobb er (...) ikke å være populær, men å følge mandatet. Ingen kan beskylde Norges Bank for å ikke innfri sitt mandat dersom banken hever renten denne uken når inflasjonen er for høy, lønnsveksten er høy og arbeidsledigheten <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. \"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"er lav og fortsatt faller\">er lav og fortsatt faller</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Cekov og Andreassen viser til tall fra Nav som den beste indikatoren på balansen i arbeidsmarkedet, sammen med antall ledige stillinger, som er høyere enn normalt. SSBs måling av arbeidsledighet (AKU) viser noe økning i ledigheten, men det «skyldes i hovedsak økt ledighet blant unge under 25 år som søker (deltids)jobb – ikke en bred økning i ledigheten på grunn av høy rente eller andre vanskeligheter i økonomien», ifølge økonomene. </span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span>». </p> <h2 class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _heading_172ys_1 _heading_qg7rf_6 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded title-medium\">– Fullstendig misforstått</h2> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Rett i forkant av rentemøtet har dollar og euro blitt handlet for henholdsvis 9,3 og 10,9 kroner, ifølge Infront. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Sterkere krone kan gi lavere priser på utenlandske varer i Norge, og være til hjelp for å bekjempe prisveksten. Men i likhet med Andreassen og Cekov, mener heller ikke Vamraak at kronestyrkingen er et godt nok argument for å utsette rentehevingen. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Jeg ser at en del har sagt at kronen har styrket seg så mye at man nå ikke trenger å heve renten. Det mener jeg er fullstendig misforstått. Kronen har styrket seg fordi <span class=\"_explanation_172ys_141 _textTheme_1yhmn_1\" role=\"term\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. \"><span data-track-click=\"true\" data-track-content-id=\"WordExplainer\" data-track-element-type=\"button\" data-track-id=\"wordexplainer\" data-track-name=\"pengemarkedsrenten\">pengemarkedsrenten</span><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"_definition_172ys_151\"><span>Pengemarkedsrenten viser hvor mye det koster bankene å låne penger fra andre banker. Siden forrige rentebeslutning i mars har pengemarkedsrenten NIBOR med tre måneders løpetid, steget fra 4,29 til 4,48 prosent, ifølge dataleverandøren Infront. </span><button class=\"_closeButton_172ys_155\" tabindex=\"-1\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" aria-label=\"Cancel\" fill=\"none\" height=\"24\" role=\"graphics-symbol\" style=\"flex-shrink:0;height:var(--icon-size, var(--space-l));width:auto\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"24\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\"><path d=\"M6.29286 4.39464C5.77223 3.87401 4.92673 3.87401 4.4061 4.39464C3.88547 4.91527 3.88547 5.76077 4.4061 6.2814L10.1289 12L4.41026 17.7228C3.88963 18.2434 3.88963 19.0889 4.41026 19.6095C4.93089 20.1302 5.7764 20.1302 6.29703 19.6095L12.0156 13.8868L17.7384 19.6054C18.259 20.126 19.1045 20.126 19.6252 19.6054C20.1458 19.0847 20.1458 18.2392 19.6252 17.7186L13.9024 12L19.621 6.27724C20.1416 5.75661 20.1416 4.9111 19.621 4.39047C19.1004 3.86984 18.2549 3.86984 17.7342 4.39047L12.0156 10.1132L6.29286 4.39464Z\" fill=\"var(--icon-color, currentColor)\"></path></svg></button></span></span> har gått opp. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Det skyldes igjen forventninger om at Norges Bank skal sette opp renten, ifølge Vamraak. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Så man vil svekke tilliten i markedet dersom man ikke gjør det som er helt åpenbart ut fra makroforholdene og hva markedet venter. </p> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_4\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_4\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_4\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">Det gjør at Vamraak tror bevegelsene i rente- og valutamarkedet vil være små dersom rentehevingen han venter, kommer på torsdag. </p> <p class=\"_textTheme_1yhmn_1 _paragraph_172ys_4 _paragraph_qg7rf_27 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded body-medium\">– Det er allerede priset inn. </p> </section> <time class=\"label-small _timestamp_1sn1n_1 _full_1sn1n_29 layout-component layout-normal layout-padded\" datetime=\"2026-05-07T04:04:13.000Z\" itemprop=\"datePublished\">Publisert: 07.05.26 kl. 06:04</time> <footer class=\"layout-component label-medium layout-normal layout-padded _tagsTheme_1yg8r_1\" data-track-element-type=\"Tags\" data-track-id=\"tags\" data-track-impression data-track-name=\"Tags\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\"><nav class=\"_nav_10biv_5\"><ul class=\"_list_10biv_6\"><li class=\"_item_10biv_7\"><a class=\"_button_1n2gi_2 label-medium _hug_1n2gi_87 _rounded_1n2gi_37 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data-host=\"e24.no\" data-lang=\"nb-no\" data-newsroom=\"e24\" data-section=\"{"id":"29b71ba3-8f07-47de-95f4-b92150599a74","title":"Norsk økonomi","enabled":true}\" id=\"comments-widget\"></div> <astro-island await-children client=\"idle\" component-export=\"ToastContainer\" component-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/Toast.B_GCRLEZ.js\" opts=\"{"name":"ToastContainer","value":true}\" prefix=\"r14\" props=\"{}\" renderer-url=\"https://assets.e24.no/article/_astro/client.DaE6VSCz.js\" ssr uid=\"1yMxON\"><div class=\"_toasts_1x7db_1\"></div></astro-island> <div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-above-related\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_backfill_3\" style=\"display:none\"> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_backfill_3\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_backfill_3\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_backfill_3\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </div></div> <track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"brandboard_jobs\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"brandboard_jobs\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-brandboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-brandboard__article\" id=\"brandboard_jobs\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element> </article> <aside class=\"aside grouped\" role=\"complementary\"> <section class=\"_recirculation_o5r1j_1 layout-component\" data-nosnippet data-test-id=\"recirculation\" data-track-element-type=\"Recirculation\"><h2 class=\"title-medium bold\">Relaterte saker</h2><ul style=\"display: contents\"><li><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"1\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:16oM0G\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"– Kommer til å sette opp renten\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/16oM0G/kommer-til-aa-sette-opp-renten\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\">– Kommer til å\nsette opp renten</span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-04-10T06:17:33.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">10 april</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"5760\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"300px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=40&s=7ad244825b526bbdbedf66a6422aecb187e52fd2 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=80&s=0d1efc59cbdb845709e3a3c939bdd4aeee38fbc7 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=100&s=f38d84c1ee7de8293922986b7474c1987ffcc546 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=200&s=c5ebb594a5fd82e5721d6c85a0af6bc068c59eff 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=240&s=b460324703191baa5456036f3dafc8cc90964d41 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=480&s=dd7ad0946c25d46aa84fdea169c1b9d5b513e2ae 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=580&s=da2fe169f60f3da0ca67002bd32cb4f00247f0b5 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=720&s=4cab4b90c52a17500afaa70619d83250e0a40474 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1080&s=01339a81faad97f64e45711c5b2c05ddb6ba13b4 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=1440&s=0a19ff702b281ac2ed88114a965e63ca518c80c3 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/d9800057-e0d6-44c8-a0b8-8a2d0d9f508d?format=auto&w=2160&s=743495f240f9133429a57b32046a607dd0c91394 2160w\" style=\"object-position:initial\" width=\"8640\"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-recirculation\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_recirc_1\" style=\"display:none\"><track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_recirc_1\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_recirc_1\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_recirc_1\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"2\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:k00wrk\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"Jekker opp renteutsiktene: – Kan settes opp to ganger i år\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"2\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/k00wrk/norges-bank-endrer-renteutsiktene\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><p class=\"label-small\">Jekker opp renteutsiktene: </p><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\"> – Kan settes opp to ganger i år</span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-03-26T09:08:04.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">26 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"5661\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"300px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=40&s=a12d95e3abb507d7721f0c407a09e880c0072b26 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=80&s=d92170c65dd4c506ab647b742a1712598bb52688 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=100&s=6ebab2a438f8ad438f866bf072c71e5b2fc7df2b 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=200&s=46206cb181ba68773d67135407426371c79334b8 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=240&s=4e089718cdb9f3f5514ad42b1dba646dfef5eef2 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=480&s=ec186b7032c0210d8f752b010cbec2c9a660d1a5 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=580&s=e07a828e9a69efe5d23959eb6857b59b1e3dcfcf 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=720&s=9f95f3ef8755cf90e0924959e4283ab8c7f665eb 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1080&s=726cd1597125566bf00076e0db399b2c4efdc9a5 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=1440&s=d27707186de824d566624aee3866b5d002385d44 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ad52c4b-414e-4c21-8a44-8bb7a07d68fd?format=auto&w=2160&s=0698712660cebbb6a96fd22dfeab940d68d0f1d5 2160w\" style=\"object-position:initial\" width=\"8491\"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"3\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:vrrAzj\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"Rentemøte: – Tittelen bør være «force majeure»\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"3\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/vrrAzj/rentemoete-tittelen-boer-vaere-force-majeure\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><p class=\"label-small\">Rentemøte:</p><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\">– Reell mulighet\nfor heving </span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-03-25T18:18:54.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">25 mars</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"3531\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"300px\" src=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23\" srcset=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=40&s=fbdd45bad32bfb26761448514f4f28bd35009f23 40w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=80&s=6f46701b68101ac03985d144f8f7d5345c6d4c2b 80w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=100&s=7a72fc2d5b599b1cef01bb443c3f0407e11fcd07 100w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=200&s=785564b4fcd6ecf3b20b28adfac6c122308af86e 200w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=240&s=5ebee0ef07d18fcd111272d811d181783d80996b 240w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=480&s=b67a098a032abdf95ff576069730eb50e868dcea 480w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=580&s=1644280093049ee52a0ee7bbbab53ae661cd71d9 580w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=720&s=04355612211ea512cdc0d79629a3fa5e4f7e6801 720w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1080&s=bfa499e1c6502512d10e78f84e507af6a6eb37db 1080w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=1440&s=b7ea0c47ff1dd1671c3468cbedb9a79b1188c6e8 1440w, https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/8f018054-b26a-4255-83f7-f7ac69257e59?format=auto&w=2160&s=3b7909867be6b34a68fff1fe3a9abb5d97d303a1 2160w\" style=\"object-position:49.63215008276623% 40.93741149815916%\" width=\"5437\"></picture></a></article></track-element></div></li><li><div class=\"dr-edition-wrapper dr-edition-lock-height\" data-edition-name=\"e24-native-in-recirculation-2\"><div class=\"inscreen-target\"></div><div class=\"container\"></div><div class=\"fallback\" data-fallback-target-id=\"netboard_recirc_2\" style=\"display:none\"><track-element data-track-element-type=\"AdSlot\" data-track-id=\"netboard_recirc_2\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-name=\"netboard_recirc_2\" data-track-primary-position=\"1\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard-wrapper__article\"><div class=\"advertory-e24-netboard__article\" id=\"netboard_recirc_2\" style=\"min-height:250px\"></div></div></track-element></div></div><div class=\"_teaserTheme_12l2z_1\"><track-element data-track-access-level=\"Free\" data-track-access-level-name=\"open\" data-track-bundle-position=\"4\" data-track-click-intent=\"View\" data-track-element-size=\"small\" data-track-element-type=\"Teaser\" data-track-id=\"teaser:0pvJ4o\" data-track-image-url=\"https://akamai.vgc.no/v2/images/3ab09b84-1c6d-3a58-bcd5-616c595f2f60?format=auto&w=40&s=1921564084a01553fc83305af0aa24f8d744ce03\" data-track-impression=\"\" data-track-layout-name=\"image:right\" data-track-name=\"– Vi må ha høyere rente\" data-track-position-source=\"related-articles-list\" data-track-primary-position=\"4\" data-track-target-newsroom=\"e24\" data-track-target-type=\"Article\"><article class=\"_article_1hilu_1 _small_1hilu_58\"><a class=\"label-primary _link_1hilu_48\" data-use-overlay-player=\"false\" href=\"https://e24.no/norsk-oekonomi/i/0pvJ4o/vi-maa-ha-hoeyere-rente\"><div class=\"_content_1hilu_11\"><div class=\"_titleContainer_1hilu_149\"><h2 class=\"_title_ee18u_1 title-small bold\"><span class=\"_text_ee18u_10\">– Vi må ha\nhøyere rente</span></h2></div><div class=\"_metaFooter_1hilu_197\"><ul class=\"_meta_1hilu_111 label-small\"><li class=\"_item_1hilu_114\"><time class=\"_timestamp_1hilu_217\" datetime=\"2026-05-04T03:00:00.000Z\"><span data-nosnippet=\"true\">4 mai</span></time></li></ul></div></div><picture class=\"_picture_1hilu_144\"><img alt=\"\" class=\"_image_1hilu_35\" height=\"5464\" loading=\"lazy\" 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data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>\nE24 arbeider etter\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.presse.no/vaer-varsom-plakaten\">\nVær Varsom-plakatens regler for god presseskikk\n</a>,\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://e24.no/etiske-retningslinjer\">\nE24s etiske retningslinjer\n</a> og\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.redaktor.no/ressurser/etiske-og-juridiske-rammeverk/redaktorplakaten\">\nRedaktørplakaten\n</a>. Den som mener seg rammet av urettmessig medieomtale, oppfordres\n til å ta kontakt med redaksjonen. Pressens Faglige Utvalg (PFU) er et\n klageorgan som behandler klager mot mediene i presseetiske spørsmål.\n For informasjon om klageadgang, se: <a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.presse.no/hvordan-klage-til-pfu\">\nwww.presse.no\n</a> </p> <p class=\"label-small shortCopyright\" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>\n© 2026, E24\n</p> </div> <div class=\"_misc_e3b6k_172\" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <dl data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <dt class=\"label-small bold\" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>Adresse:</dt> <dd class=\"_miscContent_e3b6k_181 label-small\" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>\nAkersgata 55<br data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>0180 OSLO\n</dd> </dl> <div class=\"_miscContent_e3b6k_181\" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik> <p class=\"label-small\" data-astro-cid-zpckxmik>\nKurser er levert av\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.oslobors.no/\">Oslo Børs</a>,\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.infront.co/no/en.html\">Infront</a>\nog\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.theice.com/market-data\">ICE Data Services</a>.\n Kurser - med unntak av Hovedindeksen - er 15 minutter forsinket.\n Estimater er levert av\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://www.factset.com/\">Factset</a>. Data relatert til\n krypto-valutaer er levert av<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://firi.com/no\">\nFiri AS\n</a>. Det tas forbehold om eventuelle feil og mangler i data.\n (Copyright and Terms of Use Notice:\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://e24.no/informasjon/terms-of-use/ice-futures\">\nICE Futures\n</a>,\n<a data-astro-cid-zpckxmik href=\"https://e24.no/informasjon/terms-of-use/ftse-100\">\nFTSE 100\n</a>)\n</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> </footer> </body></html>",
"source_updated_at" : "2026-05-06 20:19:43",
"summary" : "Markedet heller mot at Norges Bank hever renten på torsdag.",
"tags" : null,
"title" : "Sjeføkonom er sikker på renteheving",
"twitter_title" : null,
"version" : 1
}